Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates : Over 3.5 Total Runs (-714)

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The 'Over 3.5' bet for the Total Runs (Alternate) market in the Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates game is a solid choice given the recent offensive performance of both teams. The Cubs have averaged 6.8 runs per game in their last five games, both overall and at home, while the Pirates have averaged 4.2 runs per game overall and 3.6 on the road. This combined average of 10 runs per game is significantly higher than the line of 3.5. Additionally, the Cubs have been hitting well with an average of 10.6 hits per game, and the Pirates averaging 10.2 hits. Furthermore, both teams have shown a capacity for home runs, with the Cubs averaging 2.2 and the Pirates 1 per game. These statistics suggest a high likelihood of the total runs exceeding 3.5.

Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Nico Hoerner for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a promising choice based on his recent performance data. The key factor is Hoerner's average stolen bases. Over the last five games, Hoerner's overall and home stolen base averages are both 0. This means he has not been stealing bases recently, particularly at home. Moreover, his average caught stealing (Cs) is 0.2, indicating that he has been caught more often than he has successfully stolen. Even when considering his performance against the Pirates, his stolen base average remains low at 0.2. Despite his impressive current hit streaks, these do not directly translate into stolen bases. Therefore, based on these statistics, it is statistically likely that Hoerner will not steal a base in the upcoming game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Isiah Kiner-Falefa for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice due to his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Kiner-Falefa's overall stolen base average is only 0.2, and his average falls to zero when considering his performance in away games or against the Cubs. In addition, he has not been caught stealing in the last five games, indicating a conservative base running strategy. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, are impressive but don't necessarily translate into stolen bases. Therefore, the statistical evidence suggests Kiner-Falefa is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game against the Chicago Cubs, making the Under 0.5 bet a sensible choice.

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