Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates : Over 3.5 Total Runs (-667)

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The Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates have both demonstrated strong offensive performances in their recent games. The Cubs have an average of 6.8 runs scored in their last five games, while the Pirates have an average of 4.2 runs. This combined average of 11 runs is significantly above the total runs line of 3.5, suggesting a high likelihood of exceeding this total. Furthermore, both teams have shown strong batting averages, with the Cubs averaging 10.6 hits and the Pirates 10.2 hits in their last five games. The Cubs also have a high home run average of 2.2, which could further contribute to a high run total. Lastly, both teams have allowed an average of more than 3.5 runs in their last five games, indicating potential defensive weaknesses that could lead to a high-scoring game.

Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

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The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Nico Hoerner is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, regardless of location, Hoerner has averaged zero stolen bases. This trend is consistent when playing at home, where his stolen base average also sits at zero. Even when facing the Pittsburgh Pirates specifically, Hoerner's stolen base average is only 0.2, still below the 0.5 line. In addition, his average number of times caught stealing is relatively low at 0.2, indicating that he doesn't attempt many stolen bases, further supporting the under 0.5 bet. Despite his impressive hit streaks, these do not directly correlate with stolen base success. Therefore, statistical analysis suggests that Hoerner is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's under 0.5 bet in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a sensible choice considering his recent performance data. Over the last five games, his overall average for stolen bases is just 0.2, falling below the line of 0.5. Moreover, his performance away from home and against the specific opponent, the Chicago Cubs, has been even less impressive; he has failed to steal any base in both scenarios. Besides, his current hit streaks, overall and away, don't seem to have an influence on his ability to steal bases. Therefore, his historical data does not suggest a high likelihood of him stealing a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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