Cagliari vs Fiorentina: Cagliari Draw No Bet (+125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Cagliari in the Draw No Bet market is a good choice considering their recent home performance. The home team has shown a promising increase in scoring at home, with an average of 1.4 goals compared to their overall average of 1. This is coupled with a higher expected goals (xG) at home (1.1) compared to their overall xG (0.8). This suggests that Cagliari is more likely to score when playing at home. Also, Fiorentina's average opponent score when playing away is 1.6, higher than their overall average of 0.6, indicating a weaker defensive performance away from home. Additionally, Fiorentina's xG when playing away (1.1) is lower than their overall xG (1.14), suggesting a lower scoring potential. Therefore, Cagliari's stronger home performance and Fiorentina's weaker away defense make a bet on Cagliari a favorable choice.
Cagliari vs Fiorentina: Both Teams To Score: Yes (-130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The 'Yes' bet on Both Teams to Score in the Cagliari vs Fiorentina game is backed by several key statistics. Firstly, both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability in their last five games, with Cagliari averaging 1 goal per game and Fiorentina averaging 1.2. Secondly, the expected goals (xG) data also supports the likelihood of both teams scoring, with Cagliari's xG at 0.8 and Fiorentina's at 1.14. This suggests that both teams are creating scoring opportunities. Lastly, the head-to-head record shows that Fiorentina has scored in 4 out of the last 5 encounters against Cagliari. Given these statistics, it's reasonable to expect that both teams will score in this match, making the 'Yes' bet a good choice.
Cagliari vs Fiorentina: Cagliari Moneyline (+215)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Cagliari to win is a calculated risk based on their performance on home ground. In the last five home games, Cagliari has won two, drawn one, and lost two, showing a relatively balanced performance. Their average score at home is higher (1.4) compared to Fiorentina's away average score (1). Furthermore, Cagliari's average expected goals (xG) at home (1.1) is equivalent to Fiorentina's xG away, indicating a comparable attacking performance. Cagliari also has a higher average of key passes (7.8) at home compared to Fiorentina's away average (4.8), suggesting they create more scoring opportunities. Although Fiorentina has a better track record against Cagliari, the home advantage and current form indicate Cagliari could offer a surprise result.
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