Cagliari vs Fiorentina: Cagliari Draw No Bet (+130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Cagliari's statistics show a stronger performance at home, with a higher average score (1.4) and expected goals (xG) (1.1) compared to their overall average. This suggests they are more potent offensively when playing on their own turf. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has a higher average opponent score (1.6) and opponent xG (1.62) when playing away, indicating a weaker defensive performance on the road. Despite Fiorentina's stronger record against Cagliari in recent match-ups, the data suggests that Cagliari's home advantage could tip the balance in their favor for this encounter. Therefore, betting on Cagliari in the Draw No Bet market could be a good choice, as it provides a safety net in case of a draw, while taking advantage of Cagliari's stronger home performance.
Cagliari vs Fiorentina: Fiorentina Moneyline (+120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Fiorentina is a good choice given their superior performance against Cagliari in recent matchups, with a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and no losses in their last 5 encounters. Additionally, Fiorentina's overall performance in their last 5 games (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses) is better than Cagliari's (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Fiorentina also has a higher average team score (1.2) compared to Cagliari (1), and a lower opponent score (0.6) versus Cagliari's (1). This suggests Fiorentina is more effective at both scoring and preventing goals. Lastly, Fiorentina's expected goals (xG) of 1.14 is higher than Cagliari's 0.8, indicating they create more high-quality scoring opportunities. These factors combined suggest a higher likelihood of a Fiorentina win.
Cagliari vs Fiorentina: Fiorentina Moneyline (+120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Fiorentina appears to be a solid bet for the Match Result market based on their superior performance in recent games and against Cagliari specifically. Over the last five matches, Fiorentina has a better overall record (3-0-2) compared to Cagliari (1-1-3). Additionally, Fiorentina has consistently outperformed Cagliari in their head-to-head meetings, with a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and no losses in their last five encounters. Fiorentina's average team score (1.2) and expected goals (1.14) over the last five matches also surpass Cagliari's (1 and 0.8 respectively), suggesting a higher offensive capability. Although Cagliari has a slightly higher team score at home (1.4), Fiorentina's defensive record, allowing only 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches, should counteract this. Overall, the data supports a bet on Fiorentina due to their stronger recent and historical performance against Cagliari.
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