Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays : Over 1.5 alternate_team_totals (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Toronto Blue Jays Over 1.5' for the Team Total Runs market is backed by several key statistics. Firstly, the model predicts the Toronto Blue Jays to score an average of 4.51 runs, significantly higher than the set line of 1.5. Additionally, despite a lower average of 1.8 runs in their last five games, the Blue Jays have shown an improvement in away games, scoring an average of 2.8 runs. This is complemented by their average of 7 hits in away games. The Boston Red Sox, on the other hand, have allowed an average of 2.8 runs in their last five home games, which aligns with the Blue Jays' away scoring average. This suggests that the Blue Jays have a strong chance of scoring over 1.5 runs in the upcoming game.

Bo Bichette (TOR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet on Bo Bichette for Batter Stolen Bases is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Bichette's overall stolen base average is 0.4, which already falls under the line of 0.5. Even more compelling is his lack of stolen bases in away games, with an average of 0 in the last five games. This trend continues when looking at his performance against the Boston Red Sox specifically, with no stolen bases in their last five matchups. Despite his current hitting streaks, both overall and away, these have not translated into successful stolen bases. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's highly probable that Bichette will not steal a base in this game, making the under 0.5 bet a solid choice.

George Springer (TOR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on George Springer for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a statistically sound choice. Springer's recent performance data shows a low average of stolen bases, particularly in away games and against the Boston Red Sox. His L5 overall and away SB averages are 0.4 and his L5 SB average against the Red Sox is 0. This demonstrates a lack of consistent base stealing, especially against this specific opponent. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, stand at just 1, indicating a lack of momentum that could lead to successful base stealing. With an absence of caught stealing (Cs) in the last five games, it's clear that Springer isn't frequently attempting to steal bases. Thus, the under 0.5 bet is a statistically supported choice.

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