Tim Membrey (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-357)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Tim Membrey is a strong bet to score anytime based on his recent form. With an average of 1.8 goals in his last five away games and a solid goal accuracy of 83.3%, Membrey consistently hits the scoreboard. Additionally, his high score involvements (3.2) and shots at goal (2.4) indicate his active presence in Collingwood's forward line. Facing Adelaide, where he averages 1.2 goals against them in away games, Membrey's goal-scoring potential is further supported. Given his recent performance and historical success against Adelaide, Membrey is poised to deliver in this matchup, making the 'Over 0.5 Goals Anytime' bet a compelling choice.
Josh Daicos (Collingwood) Over 19.5 Disposals (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Josh Daicos is poised to excel in the upcoming Adelaide vs. Collingwood clash based on his recent form. With a strong average of 25.6 disposals in his last five away games and facing an opponent where he averages 24.7 disposals, Daicos is set to surpass the 19.5 disposals line. His consistent contested possessions (7.8) and kicks (15.8) showcase his midfield impact. Despite a minimal deviation in his disposals average (SD: 5), Daicos boasts a model-predicted 25.4 disposals, indicating a 2.5% edge in this bet. His high disposal efficiency (77.6%) and impressive metres gained (553.6) further support his ability to meet or exceed the line. Backing Daicos to go over 19.5 disposals seems a solid bet given his recent performances and matchup dynamics.
Reilly O'Brien (Adelaide Crows) Over 9.5 Disposals (-263)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Reilly O'Brien is poised to shine in the 'Player Disposals Over/Under' market with a prediction of 12.8, showcasing a 1.8% edge. His recent performances, averaging 10.8 disposals in home games and 12.4 overall, suggest he can surpass the 9.5 line comfortably. With solid metrics like contested possessions (6.8), kicks (6), and metres gained (143.2) in his last five home games, O'Brien's consistency and matchup history against Collingwood bode well for exceeding expectations. Despite a slight dip in uncontested possessions (3.6), his overall hit rate of 9/10 and recent home games hit rate of 4/5 indicate a player in form. Betting on O'Brien to go over 9.5 disposals appears a prudent choice for this upcoming clash at Adelaide Oval.
Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies : Adelaide Crows -8.5 (-111)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on Adelaide Crows -8.5 is supported by their strong recent performances at home, averaging a 36-point margin and scoring an average of 95.4 points in their last five home games. Collingwood Magpies, on the other hand, have struggled on the road, averaging a margin of only 3.8 points and conceding an average of 68.8 points in their last five away games. Adelaide's ability to generate inside 50s consistently (51.6 average) and convert shots on goal efficiently (25.8 average) further strengthens the case for this bet. With Collingwood's weaker defensive record and Adelaide's scoring prowess, the Crows are well-positioned to cover the -8.5 spread at Adelaide Oval.
Nick Daicos (Collingwood) Over 24.5 Disposals (-400)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Nick Daicos is poised to shine in this matchup against Adelaide at the Adelaide Oval. With a model-predicted 28.9 disposals, his recent form supports this bet. In his last five away games, Daicos has averaged 31.4 disposals, exceeding the line comfortably. Against Adelaide specifically, he maintains a high average of 32 disposals. His recent form shows impressive consistency with an overall hit rate of 90% in the last 10 games. Daicos' ability to find the ball, coupled with his efficient disposal rate of 70.8%, suggests he's likely to surpass the 24.5 disposal line set by the bookmaker. This bet offers a solid opportunity to capitalize on his prolific ball-winning capabilities.
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