Kevin Gausman (TOR) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Kevin Gausman for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is supported by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Gausman has allowed an average of 4.2 hits overall, 4.8 hits at home, and 5.2 hits against the Yankees. These averages are all significantly higher than the proposed line of 1.5. Furthermore, Gausman's innings pitched (IP) averages also suggest he'll be on the mound long enough for the Yankees to get more than 1.5 hits. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, further support the likelihood of this outcome. Therefore, based on Gausman's recent performance and the Yankees' hitting against him, this bet is a statistically sound choice.

Cody Bellinger (NYY) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Cody Bellinger for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is rooted in his recent performance data. In his last five games overall, his average stolen bases (SB) is only 0.2. This trend is consistent even when focusing specifically on his last five away games, with an average of 0.2 SB. Moreover, when playing against the Blue Jays, his SB average remains at 0.2, and drops to 0 when looking at his last five away games against this team. In addition, he has not been caught stealing in any of these scenarios, indicating a cautious approach to base stealing. His current hit streak, both overall and away, suggests he is more likely to focus on hitting than stealing bases. Therefore, the data supports the conclusion that Bellinger is unlikely to steal more than 0.5 bases in the upcoming game.

George Springer (TOR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on George Springer for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice primarily due to Springer's recent performance data. His last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall and notably, zero stolen bases at home. This trend is consistent when facing the Yankees, as he also averages zero stolen bases. Furthermore, his current hit streak both overall and at home is only 1, which indicates he is not in a high performing phase. Additionally, the catcher's statistics reinforce this choice as there have been zero caught stealing instances in the last five games, implying that the opposing team's catcher is efficient at preventing stolen bases. These statistics collectively suggest that the chances of Springer achieving a stolen base in this game are minimal, thus supporting the Under 0.5 bet.

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