Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Saturday 09/06 (Nathaniel Lowe Highlights): Best Value Bets

Betting under 1.5 on Tyler Soderstrom is a reasonable choice considering his recent performance data. His last five games show an overall hits average of 0.6 and an away hits average of 0.8, both of which are below the line of 1.5. Moreover, his performance against the Los Angeles Angels has been even less impressive, with an average of only 0.4 hits per game. His plate appearances also decrease when playing away and against the Angels, averaging 4.4 and 3.6 respectively, which further reduces his chances of scoring hits. Despite his current hit streak, the overall and specific statistics indicate that Soderstrom is likely to score less than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Yoan Moncada (LAA) Under 1.5 Hits (-161)

The bet on Yoan Moncada for Under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Moncada's last five games show an overall hits average of 0.6 and a plate appearance average of 3.6. Even when considering his better performance at home, his hits average is only 1.2 with a slightly higher plate appearance average of 4.2. His performance specifically against the Athletics is not significantly different, with a hits average of 1.6. Despite his current hit streak, the averages suggest that it is unlikely for Moncada to achieve more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. His hit rate is simply not high enough to confidently predict a higher outcome. Therefore, betting Under 1.5 is statistically the most reasonable choice.

Jarren Duran (BOS) Over 0.5 Hits (-145)

Betting on Jarren Duran for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a good choice based on his consistent performance data. Duran's overall batting average in the last five games is 1.2 hits per game, which is higher than the line of 0.5. His away game performance is also strong, averaging 0.8 hits per game. Additionally, Duran has a current hit streak of 9 games overall and 4 games away, demonstrating his consistency in getting hits. Even when considering his performance against the Diamondbacks, his average hits are above the line at 0.6. These statistics suggest a high probability of Duran getting a hit in the upcoming game, making the bet a favorable one.

Luis Rengifo (LAA) Under 1.5 Singles (-270)

The bet on Luis Rengifo for Under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Rengifo has averaged just 0.4 singles, both overall and at home. This average drops even further to 0.2 when facing the Athletics, indicating that this particular opponent may pose a challenge for him. Despite his impressive hit streaks, these numbers do not translate into a high rate of singles. His current home hit streak stands at 13, but these hits are not necessarily singles, and his overall hit streak of 20 also does not guarantee a high single rate. Therefore, the data suggests that it is statistically unlikely for Rengifo to hit over 1.5 singles in the upcoming game, making the Under bet a good choice.

Yoan Moncada (LAA) Under 1.5 Singles (-345)

Betting under 1.5 for Yoan Moncada in the Batter Singles market is a statistically sound choice. Over the last five games, Moncada's average for singles, both overall and at home, is significantly below 1.5, standing at 0.2 and 0.4 respectively. His batting average also supports this, with an overall hits average of 0.6 and a home hits average of 1.2. Even when considering his performance against the Athletics, his average for singles is only 0.8, still below the line. While Moncada is on a commendable hitting streak, the data suggests that most of his hits are not resulting in singles. Therefore, despite his consistent hitting, the statistics indicate that it's unlikely Moncada will hit over 1.5 singles in the upcoming game.