Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies : Memphis Grizzlies win (+160)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on the Memphis Grizzlies is a calculated risk supported by their scoring prowess. Despite their recent away record (2-3), the Grizzlies have demonstrated a higher scoring average than the Raptors in recent games. They've scored an average of 118.8 points across their last five games and even more impressively, their away scoring average is 119.6 points. This is higher than the Raptors' overall and home scoring averages of 112.8 and 114.6 points respectively. Both teams have an even head-to-head record, but the Grizzlies' superior scoring ability could be the deciding factor in this matchup. Therefore, betting on the Grizzlies could yield a winning bet.
Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies : Memphis Grizzlies 5 (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Memphis Grizzlies on the Point Spread market is a solid choice due to their recent scoring performance. Despite their away record of 2-3, the Grizzlies have outscored the Raptors in their last five games, averaging 118.8 points compared to Toronto's 112.8. This trend continues when focusing on away games for the Grizzlies and home games for the Raptors, with Memphis still leading in average score (119.6 vs 114.6). The Grizzlies also have the advantage when comparing the teams' records against each other (1-1), given their higher scoring average. Although the Raptors have a better defensive record at home, the Grizzlies' offensive strength seems to outweigh this factor. Therefore, the Grizzlies' superior scoring power makes them a promising bet for the Point Spread market.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks : Cleveland Cavaliers win (-244)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on the Cleveland Cavaliers to win is driven by their strong performance at home. Although both teams have similar recent overall records (3-2), the Cavaliers have a more robust home record (3-2) as compared to the Hawks' weaker away record (1-4). This disparity is further highlighted by their respective scoring averages, with the Cavaliers consistently scoring 110.2 points at home, while the Hawks manage only 117.2 points away. Despite the Hawks having a better recent record against the Cavaliers (2-1), the home advantage and scoring consistency of the Cavaliers indicate they are more likely to emerge victorious in this game. This is echoed by the model's prediction and its implied probability of 70.9%, suggesting a strong likelihood of a Cavaliers win.
Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies : Toronto Raptors Under 132.5 Team Total Points (-625)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Toronto Raptors Under 132.5' for the Team Total Points is statistically justified considering the Raptors' scoring trends. Over their last five games, the Raptors have averaged 112.8 points overall and 114.6 points at home. Both averages are significantly lower than the 132.5-point threshold set for this bet. Additionally, the model prediction suggests the Raptors will score around 114.67 points in this game, supporting the likelihood of the bet outcome. The Raptors' recent performance and the model's prediction provide a compelling rationale to expect the Raptors' total points to be under 132.5 in their game against the Memphis Grizzlies.
Charlotte Hornets vs Utah Jazz : Utah Jazz Over 107.5 Team Total Points (-667)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Utah Jazz Over 107.5' is a solid choice based on the team's scoring performance over their last five games. Despite a losing record of 1-4 in their last five games overall and away, the Jazz have consistently demonstrated strong scoring capabilities. Their average score over the last five games, both overall and away, exceeds the outcome point of 107.5, with 115.2 and 116.4 respectively. The model also predicts a significantly higher score of 128.45 for the Jazz. Therefore, while the Jazz's defensive performance may be questionable, their offensive capacity indicates a high probability of surpassing the 107.5 point threshold. This analysis makes 'Utah Jazz Over 107.5' a statistically informed bet.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans : New Orleans Pelicans Under 118.5 Team Total Points (-588)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'New Orleans Pelicans Under 118.5' is statistically driven. The model prediction of 102.9 points for the Pelicans is significantly under the set total of 118.5 points. This is reinforced by the Pelicans' recent performance. Over their last five games, both home and away, their average score has been below the outcome point, at 116.8 and 115.8 points respectively. Additionally, the average score of their opponents in the last five away games has been 104.2, further indicating a trend towards lower scoring games. Therefore, based on the model prediction and recent performance trends, there's a strong likelihood that the Pelicans will score under 118.5 points, making this bet a sensible choice.
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