Zach McKinstry (DET) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Zach McKinstry in the Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers game is a sound choice based on McKinstry's recent performance data. Despite his impressive overall and away hit streaks, McKinstry has consistently shown no propensity for stealing bases. Over the last five games, both overall and away, McKinstry has averaged zero stolen bases, and no instances of being caught stealing. Additionally, when playing against the Rays, his stolen base average remains at zero. These statistics suggest that McKinstry is not a risk-taker on the bases, focusing more on his batting. Therefore, betting under 0.5 stolen bases for McKinstry is a statistically supported decision, as his past performances indicate a low likelihood of him stealing a base in this game.

Jack Flaherty (DET) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-769)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jack Flaherty to allow over 0.5 walks is a good choice when looking at his recent performances. In his last five games, Flaherty has averaged 1.8 walks overall and 2.6 walks in away games, both higher than the prop bet's line of 0.5. His average innings pitched (IP) in both overall and away games are 5.1 and 4.7 respectively, giving ample opportunity for a walk to occur. Additionally, his current hit streak in away games is 11, indicating a higher likelihood of allowing hits and potentially walks. Despite his performance against the Rays being better, with an average of 0.5 walks allowed, the overall and away game averages suggest a higher probability of him exceeding the 0.5 walks line.

Shane Baz (TBR) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Shane Baz for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is logically driven by his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Baz has averaged 1.8 walks per game, both overall and at home. This average is significantly higher than the line of 0.5, suggesting a strong likelihood that he will allow at least one walk. Additionally, Baz's average innings pitched and outs, which stand at 5.6 and 17 respectively, indicate that he spends a substantial amount of time on the mound, increasing the probability of allowing a walk. Furthermore, Baz's current hit streak at home is eight, implying that batters have been successful against him recently. These factors collectively substantiate the bet on Baz for Over 0.5 walks.

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