Logan Allen (CLE) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-909)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Logan Allen to allow over 0.5 walks is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Looking at his last five games overall, Allen has averaged 2.8 walks per game. Even when focusing on his away games, his average still stands at 1.8, which is well above the proposed line of 0.5. This suggests that regardless of the location, Allen has a tendency to allow at least one walk per game. Furthermore, despite not allowing any walks in his last five games against the Rays, his current overall and away hit streaks are 7 and 3 respectively, indicating a recent increase in his vulnerability. Therefore, the statistical trends suggest that it's highly probable Allen will allow at least one walk in the upcoming game.
Logan Allen (CLE) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-2000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Logan Allen for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is supported by his recent performance data. Allen's last five games reveal an average of 5.2 hits allowed overall, with this number increasing to 5.8 for away games. This trend surpasses the bet line of 2.5. Additionally, when facing the Tampa Bay Rays, his hits allowed average elevates to 7, further validating the bet. His innings pitched (IP) and outs averages also support this choice, as they suggest Allen is typically not able to prevent hits before reaching the bet line. Therefore, based on Allen's recent performances, this bet is a strong choice.
Ryan Pepiot (TBR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Ryan Pepiot's recent performance data supports the bet for over 2.5 strikeouts. In his last five games, he's averaged 6.2 strikeouts overall and maintained the same average at home. This is significantly higher than the line of 2.5, suggesting a strong likelihood of him surpassing this number. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) average, both overall and at home, is 5.6, which provides ample opportunities for strikeouts. His outs average also indicates a high level of play, with 16.8 overall and at home. Even when specifically facing the Cleveland Guardians, his strikeouts average is 3.7, still above the line. Lastly, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, indicate a consistent performance. All these factors combined point to a high probability of Pepiot achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the game.
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