St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Under 14 Total Runs (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for 'Under 14' in the Cardinals vs Cubs game is based on the teams' recent scoring and defensive performances. The Cardinals have been struggling on offense, averaging only 4.2 runs in their last five games, and have been even less productive at home, scoring an average of 3.6 runs. The Cubs, while more potent offensively, are averaging 6.8 runs overall and 5.6 runs in away games. Defensively, both teams are solid, with the Cardinals allowing an average of 1.4 runs at home and the Cubs allowing 3.4 runs in away games. Also, the Cardinals' pitchers have a strong strikeout average at home (7), which could limit the Cubs' scoring opportunities. These factors, combined with the model prediction of 7.44 total runs, suggest that the total runs scored will likely be under 14.

Matthew Boyd (CHC) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Matthew Boyd for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a good choice based on his consistent performance data. Looking at his last five games, Boyd's overall average strikeouts are higher than the line set at 2.5. He averages 5.2 strikeouts overall, and specifically in away games, his average is even higher at 6. In games against the Cardinals, he has maintained this high average of 6 strikeouts. This indicates his ability to perform well against this specific opponent. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, show a consistent performance. Therefore, considering Boyd's past performances and his ability to exceed the set line, this bet is statistically sound. His consistent strikeout rates, especially in away games and against the Cardinals, make the bet on Over 2.5 a statistically strong choice.

Kyle Tucker (CHC) Under 1.5 Singles (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 bet on Kyle Tucker's singles is a solid choice considering his recent performance data. His average number of singles over the last five games, both overall and away, is less than 1.5, at 0.6 and 0.8 respectively. This suggests a lower probability of him hitting more than 1 single in the upcoming game. Moreover, his current hit streak is 0 overall, indicating a recent slump in his performance. Although his away hit streak is 1, it's still below the line set for this bet. Additionally, the average singles hit by opponents is also 1, which doesn't suggest a high likelihood of Tucker outperforming this average. Overall, the data indicates a lower probability of Tucker hitting over 1.5 singles in the upcoming game, making the under bet a statistically sound choice.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro