Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Based on the data provided, betting on Jaxon Smith-Njigba to score a touchdown at any time during the Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams game seems to be a risky proposition. Most notably, Smith-Njigba's overall hit rate in the last 10 games and last 20 games is zero and 2/20, respectively, demonstrating a significant lack of scoring consistency. Even his home hit rate in the last 10 and 20 games is only 2/10 and 6/20, respectively. Furthermore, his current hit streak both overall and at home is zero, which further suggests a scoring slump. His performance specifically against the LA Rams also doesn't inspire much confidence, with a hit rate of 1/4 overall and 1/4 in the last 5 games. Although his hit rate against LA at home is 1/2, this is based on a small sample size. Hence, the statistical data seems to suggest against betting on Smith-N
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+110)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Statistical analysis reveals that betting on Jaxon Smith-Njigba to score a touchdown at any time during the Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams game does not seem to be a highly promising option. Smith-Njigba hasn't been performing at his best lately, with an overall hit rate in the last 10 games at 0/10. His recent performance at home has been equally disappointing with a hit rate of 2/10 in the last 10 home games. Moreover, his overall current hit streak stands at zero, indicating a lack of momentum. Conversely, when specifically playing against the Los Angeles Rams, his performance improves slightly. His hit rate in the last 3 games against LA is 1/3, which increases to 1/2 when playing LA at home. However, these statistics, while somewhat positive, do not significantly outweigh his recent poor performance. Therefore, the statistical data suggests a cautious approach to this bet.
Kenneth Walker III (SEA) Under 13.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Kenneth Walker III's recent performance and trends suggest that an under 13.5 bet in the 'player_reception_yds' market could be a smart move. Walker III has been struggling to rack up receiving yards, with his last five games showing an average that falls below the 13.5 line. His hit rate for surpassing this mark is also low, indicating a pattern of underperformance in this area. Furthermore, the model's edge is only 0.0195885901740858, showing a very small advantage for betting over. This, combined with the Seattle Seahawks' strong defensive line and the Los Angeles Rams' focus on their running game, further decreases the likelihood of Walker III exceeding 13.5 receiving yards. Therefore, statistical reasoning suggests that an under bet on Walker III is a reasonable choice.
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