DeMar DeRozan (Chicago Bulls) Over 9.5 Points + Assists (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on DeMar DeRozan for Over 9.5 Points + Assists in the game between San Antonio Spurs and Sacramento Kings is well supported by the given statistics. Looking at his last five games, DeRozan has averaged 27 points and 4 assists overall, and 26.4 points with 3.6 assists when playing away. Even when focusing on his performance specifically against the Kings, he averages 22.8 points and 5.4 assists, which increases slightly to 23.4 points and 4.6 assists when playing in Sacramento. Furthermore, his overall and away hit rate for the last 20 games is perfect at 20/20, showing his consistency. Given these statistics, DeRozan is statistically expected to easily surpass the 9.5 Points + Assists mark in the upcoming game.

De'Aaron Fox (Sacramento Kings) Over 7.5 Points (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

De'Aaron Fox's betting proposition of achieving over 7.5 points in the upcoming game is supported by strong statistical evidence. Fox has a perfect 100% hit rate in his last 20 home games, meaning he has scored over 7.5 points in every one of those matches. Furthermore, he has maintained this trend in his last seven games overall, making him a consistently high-scoring player. This consistency is reflected in the expected stat value of 21.54, which significantly exceeds the 7.5 point threshold for this bet. This suggests that Fox is not just surpassing the point limit, but doing so by a considerable margin. His impressive performance data indicates an implied probability of 96.2% for this bet. Thus, based on his track record and recent form, betting on Fox to score over 7.5 points is a statistically sound choice.

Keegan Murray (Sacramento Kings) Over 4.5 Rebounds (-156)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Keegan Murray's overall rebounding performance provides a strong rationale for this bet. His expected stat value is 6.71, significantly surpassing the outcome point of 4.5. In the last five games, his average overall rebounds is 6.6, another strong indicator of his ability to exceed this bet's benchmark. Although his average rebounds drop slightly to 4.8 in away games, it's still above the outcome point. Also, against the Spurs, whether at home or away, Murray averages 5.4 rebounds, signaling his ability to perform well against this specific opponent. Finally, his hit rates are impressive, with 5 out of the last 6 overall bets and 16 out of the last 20 away bets successful. All these statistics suggest that Murray is likely to achieve over 4.5 rebounds in this game.

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