Ochai Agbaji (Brooklyn Nets) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-192)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Kings and the Nets, targeting Ochai Agbaji for under 1.5 threes made feels like a smart play. While his shooting can be explosive, recent trends suggest he might struggle in this away setting. In his last five games overall, he's averaging just 1.4 threes, and when hitting the road, that number dips to a mere 0.8. Against the Kings, who have done a solid job defending the arc, Agbaji's away performances against them show he's averaging only 1.5 threes. Plus, he's hit under this mark in three straight away games, which adds to our confidence. With an expected stat value around 0.66, this bet aligns well with the data, pointing toward a lower likelihood of him splashing multiple long balls tonight. In a tight contest, he may find fewer open looks, making the under a prudent choice.

Josh Minott (Brooklyn Nets) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brooklyn Nets face off against the Sacramento Kings, keep an eye on Josh Minott's performance, particularly on the points and rebounds front. With an over/under line set at 16.5, it's worth noting that Minott has been in a notable slump away from home. In his last 16 away games, he's hit the under 15 out of 16 times, showcasing a trend that's hard to ignore. Furthermore, his expected stat value of just 9.74 suggests he'll struggle to reach that threshold. Minott's overall hit rate of 18 out of 20 games underlines the reliability of this bet. The Kings' defense has been tough, and with limited minutes likely due to the matchup, Minott's contributions might be stifled. Given the odds, it feels like a solid play to back him to stay under that 16.5 mark in what should be a competitive game.

Josh Minott (Brooklyn Nets) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kings prepare to face the Nets on Sunday, all eyes should be on Josh Minott, particularly when it comes to his rebounding numbers. Targeting the under on Minott's rebounds at 4.5 feels like a savvy play, especially given his recent form. Over the last 20 games, he's been a rebounding machine, hitting the over only once. Even more telling is his away performance, where he hasn't surpassed this number in any of his last 16 road games. With the Kings' depth in the frontcourt, Minott often finds himself in a supporting role, limiting his opportunities on the boards. Plus, the Nets will likely focus their efforts on boxing out, further hindering his chances. Given that the model suggests a 22% edge on this prop, it's hard to ignore the trend. The under on Minott's rebounds is not just smart; it's a calculated bet backed by compelling data.

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