Ochai Agbaji (Brooklyn Nets) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ochai Agbaji is stepping into a tough arena against the Sacramento Kings, and I'm betting he'll struggle to hit the mark on threes made. While he's been solid overall, averaging 1.4 threes in his last five games, his away performances tell a different story-just 0.8 made per game. The Kings have a knack for stifling perimeter shooting, and Agbaji's numbers reflect that; he's only averaging 1.5 threes against them when playing away, which is right on the edge.Recent trends also paint a picture of inconsistency; although he's hit the over in his last three away games, he's not replicating that form each night. With an expected stat value of just 0.75, and a hefty implied probability working against him, targeting the under on Agbaji feels like a savvy play for this matchup. The odds are stacked, and I like our chances here.

Nique Clifford (Sacramento Kings) Under 4.5 Assists (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kings gear up for a showdown against the Nets, targeting Nique Clifford for under 4.5 assists feels like a smart play. Recent trends reveal a clear pattern: Clifford has hit this under in a remarkable 7 of his last 9 games, showcasing a hit rate that's been even more pronounced at home-17 out of his last 20 outings. While he's showcased flashes of playmaking brilliance, his expected stat value of just 3.1 assists suggests that he might not be the primary facilitator in this matchup. With the Kings boasting a potent offense, the ball tends to move, but Clifford often finds himself more in a scoring role. Given the implied probability of 57.1% for this under, it's a bet that feels solid, especially with the Kings playing in front of their home crowd and the Nets likely focusing on containing their top threats.

Josh Minott (Brooklyn Nets) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Josh Minott has been quietly effective, but facing the Sacramento Kings on the road might not bode well for his scoring and rebounding totals. While he's shown flashes of potential, his recent form tells a different story-hitting the under on points and rebounds in 15 of his last 16 away games. Against a Kings team that thrives on their fast pace and defensive intensity, Minott's role could be limited, particularly as he navigates a crowded frontcourt. With an expected stat value of just 11.16, it's clear the numbers are suggesting a more subdued performance than what the line of 16.5 implies. Given his overall hit rate of 18 out of the last 20, it feels like the safe play here is to lean into the under. The Kings' defense is no joke, and Minott might just find himself struggling to make a significant impact on Sunday.

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