Ochai Agbaji (Brooklyn Nets) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-204)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Brooklyn Nets roll into Sacramento, all eyes will be on Ochai Agbaji and his three-point shooting. However, this matchup may not favor him as much as one might think. Despite a respectable average of 1.4 threes made in his last five games, Agbaji has struggled on the road, hitting just 0.8 threes away from home. The Kings' defense is tough against the perimeter, and though Agbaji has managed to nail 1.5 threes historically against them while on the road, his recent trend suggests a downward trajectory. With an expected stat value of only 0.75 threes for this game and his current form peaking at a 67% chance of falling below that 1.5 mark, it seems wise to bet the under on Agbaji. Sometimes, a player's past doesn't predict their future, especially when the numbers tell a different story.

Josh Minott (Brooklyn Nets) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-141)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Kings face off against the Nets, all eyes should be on Josh Minott's rebounding performance, particularly if you're thinking about taking the under on 4.5 boards. Minott has been a solid contributor, but when playing away, he's struggled to find his rhythm under the basket. With an impressive recent track record of 19 out of 20 games hitting the under, you have to consider the weight of those numbers.In fact, he's managed to stay under this mark in all 16 of his last away games, averaging just 2.85 rebounds when you factor in his role and the Kings' overall rebounding dynamics. The Kings will likely lean on their more established players to secure the boards against a Nets squad that tends to limit second-chance opportunities. With the implied probability hovering around 58.5%, the under on Minott's rebounds feels like a smart play in this matchup.

Maxime Raynaud (Sacramento Kings) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Kings host the Nets, all eyes will be on Maxime Raynaud, but I'm leaning toward the under on his rebounds at 9.5. While Raynaud has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent form tells a different story. Over the last five games, he's only surpassed this mark once. Digging deeper, his home performance has been solid, yet he's hit the under in 15 of his last 20 at the Golden 1 Center.The Kings are likely to lean on their perimeter game against the Nets, which could limit Raynaud's opportunities to grab boards. With an expected stat value of just 8.64, the numbers suggest a tighter game where rebounds may be scarce. Given that the implied probability sits around 52.9%, it's a calculated risk that aligns with his current trajectory. Look for Raynaud to stay below that rebounding threshold in this matchup.

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