Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Under 7.5 Total Goals (-5000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The 'Under 7.5' bet for the game between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad is statistically backed by the teams' scoring records. Real Madrid's average goals scored at home in the last five games is 2.4, while Real Sociedad's away score average is 0.6. This implies a combined average of 3 goals per game, significantly lower than the 7.5 line set for this bet. Additionally, Real Sociedad's away record is weak, with more losses than wins. The Expected Goals (xG) stats, which predict the number of goals a team is likely to score based on the quality of their chances, also support this bet, with Real Madrid's home xG at 2.8 and Real Sociedad's away xG at 0.68. These figures suggest a low scoring match, making 'Under 7.5' a good choice for the Total Goals market.
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Real Sociedad Moneyline (+550)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Real Sociedad as the match winner against Real Madrid is primarily based on the statistical performance of both teams. Real Madrid's recent performance shows a slight vulnerability with a loss and a draw in their last five matches. On the other hand, Real Sociedad has shown balanced performance with two wins, a draw, and two losses. Furthermore, Real Sociedad's expected goals (xG) is lower than Real Madrid's, indicating a more efficient attacking strategy. Real Sociedad also has a lower opponent score average, suggesting a strong defensive line. Even though Real Madrid has a higher average score, their opponent xG is also higher, indicating a leaky defense. Therefore, considering Real Sociedad's balanced performance and Real Madrid's recent vulnerabilities, the bet on Real Sociedad as the match winner is justified.
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Real Sociedad Moneyline (+550)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Real Sociedad is driven by their recent performance against Real Madrid, where they've managed to secure a win and a draw in their last five encounters. Despite Real Madrid's strong home record, Sociedad's ability to challenge them is notable. Additionally, Sociedad's average team score in their last five games is higher than the average opponent score conceded by Madrid. Sociedad's Expected Goals (xG) is also fairly close to Madrid's xG against, suggesting they have a reasonable chance of scoring. Finally, Sociedad's strong tackling average indicates a robust defensive strategy, which could disrupt Madrid's attack. While Madrid are the favourites, these factors indicate that Sociedad has a fighting chance, making this bet a calculated risk with a potentially high reward.
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