Christian Yelich (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-769)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet on Christian Yelich's stolen bases is statistically sound due to his recent performance data. Yelich's last five overall stolen base average is 0.4, with no caught stealing instances, suggesting a cautious approach on base. This conservative strategy is even more pronounced when playing away, with his last five away games averaging only 0.2 stolen bases. Against the Pirates specifically, Yelich's stolen base average remains at 0.4. His current hit streak, both overall and away, stands at only 1, indicating a lower likelihood of getting on base to steal. Given these factors, it's statistically more probable that Yelich will have under 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game against the Pirates.
Jackson Chourio (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Jackson Chourio for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games overall, and specifically in away games, Chourio has not recorded any stolen bases. This trend continues when he plays against the Pittsburgh Pirates, where he also has a zero stolen base average. Additionally, his average caught stealing (Cs) rates are low, further indicating a lack of base-stealing attempts. Although Chourio is on a hit streak, this doesn't necessarily translate into stolen bases. Therefore, based on his current performance and lack of stolen base activity, it is statistically reasonable to expect Chourio to stay under 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.
Brice Turang (MIL) Over 0.5 Hits (-278)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Brice Turang for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Alternate market is a strong choice, primarily due to his recent batting performance. Over the last five games, Turang has averaged 1.6 hits overall and 2 hits when playing away. This indicates a strong likelihood of him achieving at least one hit in the upcoming game, especially considering his average plate appearances are 4.4 overall and specifically 4 in away games. Although his hit average against the Pirates is lower (0.4), it is still above the 0.5 bet line. Additionally, Turang is currently on a hit streak, both overall and away, further increasing the chances of him maintaining his momentum and securing a hit in the upcoming game. Therefore, the statistical data supports the bet for Turang to achieve over 0.5 hits.
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