Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets) Over 3.5 Rebounds (-5000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Mark Williams to achieve over 3.5 rebounds in the upcoming game against the Orlando Magic is based on his consistent past performance. His average number of rebounds over the last five games is 9.4, which is well above the target of 3.5. Furthermore, when considering games played at home, this average increases to 12.2. Williams has also consistently outperformed this target against the Orlando Magic specifically, averaging 9.5 rebounds. In addition, the overall and home hit rate for the last 20 games is 100%, indicating that Williams has consistently achieved more than 3.5 rebounds. The opponent's average rebounds do not pose a significant threat, as it is at 9. Therefore, the data suggests a high likelihood of this bet being successful.

Jalen Green (Houston Rockets) Over 2.5 Assists (-179)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The rationale behind betting on Jalen Green for over 2.5 assists in the Phoenix Suns vs. Orlando Magic game is supported by several key statistics. Firstly, Green's expected stat value is 4.23, which is significantly higher than the outcome point of 2.5. This suggests that he is likely to achieve more than 2.5 assists based on his recent performance. Additionally, when we look at his last five games against this particular opponent, his average assist tally stands at 3.8, which further bolsters the chances of the outcome going over 2.5. Also, Green's hit rate over the last 19 games is 13/19, and specifically at home, it is 5/6. These hit rates indicate a strong recent trend of Green exceeding the 2.5 assists mark, thereby making the 'over' bet a well-calculated risk.

Collin Gillespie (Denver Nuggets) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-172)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The rationale behind this bet is primarily based on Collin Gillespie's expected rebound statistic, which is significantly less than the outcome point of 4.5. The expected stat value for Gillespie is only 2.75, almost two rebounds less than the bet's threshold. Additionally, the hit rate for this type of bet is very high. Over the last 20 games, bets like this have been correct 17 times, which is an 85% success rate. The success rate is even higher when Gillespie is playing at home, with a hit rate of 90% over the last 20 home games. This suggests that Gillespie is less likely to exceed 4.5 rebounds when playing at home, reinforcing the rationale for this under bet. Therefore, the statistical evidence strongly points towards Gillespie not surpassing 4.5 rebounds in the upcoming game against Orlando Magic.

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