Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 14.5 Rebounds + Assists (-139)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers gear up to face the Philadelphia 76ers, all eyes will be on Deni Avdija, but don't be surprised if he falls short of that 14.5 rebounds and assists mark. While he's been solid overall, averaging 10.8 rebounds and 6 assists in his last five games, his away performance tells a different story. On the road, his numbers dip to 10.4 rebounds and just 5 assists. Against the 76ers, Avdija has averaged only 5.4 rebounds and 3.4 assists in away games, far below our target. Historically, he's managed to hit this high mark just 12 times in his last 17 away games. With the Sixers' defense tightening up, particularly at home, we can expect Avdija to struggle to reach that 14.5 threshold on Sunday. Betting the under seems like the smart play here.

Quentin Grimes (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 25.5 Points + Assists (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Philadelphia 76ers and the Portland Trail Blazers, targeting Quentin Grimes for under 25.5 points + assists feels prudent. While Grimes has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent home performances tell a different story. Over his last five games at home, he's averaging just 21.4 points and 4 assists-well below our target. Against the Blazers, he's historically struggled, posting an average of only 11.2 points and 4.6 assists in their last encounters. With the 76ers gearing up for this game, they've relied heavily on their star players, often limiting Grimes' opportunities. Considering his overall hit rate at home is a robust 13 out of 15, and his expected stat value sits around 22.94, betting the under seems not just wise but almost necessary. The numbers are stacking against him, making this bet an attractive proposition.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Portland Trail Blazers : Philadelphia 76ers Under 121.5 Team Total Points (-769)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Philadelphia 76ers may not hit the anticipated 121.5 points against the Portland Trail Blazers, and here's why. The 76ers' offensive output has been impressive, but the model prediction suggests a slightly lower score of 119.71. Historically, the Blazers have been no slouch defensively either, and they're bound to bring their A-game to this matchup. The 76ers, while equipped with an arsenal of strong shooters, might struggle a bit to break through the Blazers' aggressive defense, consequently falling under the 121.5 point line. The implied probability of 88.5% further backs this strategy, hinting that the odds are considerably in favor of the 'Under' bet. All things considered, placing a wager on the 76ers to score under 121.5 points seems like a logical choice given the current circumstances and historical performances of both teams.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Portland Trail Blazers : Portland Trail Blazers win (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Portland Trail Blazers are being tipped for victory in their matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers, and it's not hard to see why if you delve into the numbers. Portland's season form has been impressive, with the model predicting a robust win probability of 88% for the Blazers. This confidence is reflected in the implied probability of 77.5%, showing that the stats heavily favor a Trail Blazers win. Philadelphia, on the other hand, has shown inconsistent performances at home, which could prove a significant stumbling block against a team as potent as Portland. The choice to back the Trail Blazers on the moneyline, therefore, is rooted in solid statistical evidence, making this a logical bet for those looking to leverage data for a potentially profitable outcome.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro