Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 28.5 Points (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Cavaliers roll into Orlando, all eyes will be on Donovan Mitchell, but a closer look at the stats suggests he might just fall short of the 28.5-point mark. Yes, he's been electric lately, averaging 34.2 points over his last five games. However, when we zoom in on his away performances, that number plummets to just 19.4. Against the Magic, Mitchell has averaged only 23.4 points when playing on their turf, a stark contrast to his overall numbers. Plus, in his last ten away games, he's only eclipsed that threshold once, hitting the under nine out of ten times. With the Cavaliers facing a scrappy Orlando defense, expect some tough possessions. So, while he's a superstar, betting under 28.5 points on Mitchell feels like the smart play here, given the trends and match specifics.

Keon Ellis (Sacramento Kings) Over 5.5 Points (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Orlando Magic gear up to face the Cleveland Cavaliers, Keon Ellis stands out as a prime candidate for the points prop bet. With an average of 5.4 points across his last five games, he's been steadily finding his rhythm, but more importantly, he's been a standout against the Cavaliers, dropping an impressive 10.3 points in their previous meetings. The trend continues with his home game stats, where he's averaged 7.6 points recently-well above the 5.5 line we're eyeing.Ellis has been remarkably consistent, hitting the over in 15 of his last 20 games, and even more impressively at home, where he's connected in 16 of those outings. With the Cavaliers' defense allowing an average of 9.5 points to opponents, this matchup sets the stage perfectly for Ellis to not just meet, but exceed our expectations. Trust the numbers; he's poised to make a splash.

Jevon Carter (Chicago Bulls) Under 2.5 Rebounds (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Magic versus Cavaliers showdown, Jevon Carter's rebounding numbers present a compelling case for the under on 2.5 boards. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 1 rebound, and when playing away from home, that number dips to a mere 0.6. Against the Cavaliers, Carter has managed just 1.8 boards on average, which further aligns with the trend of his diminishing returns. What's truly striking is his last 12 games, where he's only surpassed this mark once-an impressive 11 out of 12 under. In fact, his rebounding has been so consistent that he's hit the under in all six of his last games on the road. With the Cavaliers being a tough matchup on the glass, it's hard to envision a scenario where Carter breaks through this barrier. Betting the under seems like a savvy play here.

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