Ajay Mitchell (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 5.5 Assists (-1000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder gear up to face the Boston Celtics, all eyes are on Ajay Mitchell's assists prop. With the line set at 5.5, there's a compelling case for taking the under. Mitchell has been on a remarkable run, hitting the under in all 20 of his last games-not just overall, but also at home. The Thunder's offensive scheme often sees ball movement shared among multiple players, which can limit any one player's assist numbers. Against a staunch Celtics defense, Mitchell might find it even tougher to rack up those assists. The Celtics excel at disrupting passing lanes, which could further diminish Mitchell's opportunities. With an implied probability of 90.9% for this under bet, it's hard to ignore the trends and matchups at play. For those looking to capitalize on this, the under on Mitchell's assists looks like a savvy wager.

Jaylen Brown (Boston Celtics) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-1111)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Boston travels to face the Thunder, the spotlight turns to Jaylen Brown, but not in the way you might expect. With a prop bet set at 17.5 for rebounds and assists combined, the under seems particularly enticing. Brown's recent performances show he's averaging just 6.6 rebounds and 5.2 assists over his last five games, falling short of that mark. When hitting the road, those numbers dip further, with his away averages at 7.2 rebounds and only 3 assists. Historically, against the Thunder, he's also struggled, posting just 4.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists in their last five matchups. The trend is stark-he's hit the under in 19 of his last 20 games, and remarkably, 20 for 20 while playing away. With the Thunder's defense tightening up, this could be a perfect storm for Brown to underdeliver on that 17.5 line.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics : Oklahoma City Thunder Over 101.5 Team Total Points (-714)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been lighting up the scoreboard lately, and there's no reason to believe that trend won't continue against the Boston Celtics. The Thunder have consistently been surpassing the 101.5 point mark in their recent games, illustrating their offensive potency. Additionally, the Celtics' defense has been inconsistent on the road, often allowing their opponents to rack up high point totals. While the model prediction seems conservative, the implied probability and model edge suggest that the Thunder are poised to outperform this prediction. On top of all that, the Thunder are playing at home, where they've historically been a higher-scoring team. All signs point to the Thunder continuing their scoring surge and surpassing the 101.5 point mark.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro