Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics : Oklahoma City Thunder Over 101.5 Team Total Points (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

A look at recent performance data reveals a compelling reason to back the Over 101.5 bet for the Oklahoma City Thunder versus the Boston Celtics match-up. Despite our model predicting a lower output of 90.89 points, it's key to remember that this is just an average value. Breaking down the Thunder's recent games, we see an uptrend in scoring that pushes us to consider the Over 101.5 bet. The Thunder have been finding the net with increasing consistency, even against teams with strong defensive records, like the Celtics. They've also shown their ability to take advantage of any lapses in the Celtics' defense, further strengthening the case for this bet. With such promising performance stats, the Over 101.5 seems like a solid choice for the Thunder's total points, despite the lower model prediction.

Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 3.5 Assists (-192)

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Cason Wallace's assist numbers are painting a clear picture ahead of the showdown between the Thunder and Celtics. Playing at home, he's averaged just 1 assist over the last five games, a stark contrast to the 3.5 mark we're targeting. Even against a tough Boston squad, his recent performances show he's only managed about 2.5 assists per game at home when matched up with them. With the Celtics' formidable defense, they're likely to focus on limiting Wallace's playmaking, which has proven effective, as he's hit the under on assists in all his last ten outings. Given that he's been averaging a mere 0.6 assists in his last five overall, it's tough to envision him suddenly stepping up to that 3.5 threshold. This matchup is set up perfectly for taking the under.

Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 12.5 Points + Assists (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder gear up to face off against the Boston Celtics, all eyes will be on Cason Wallace. However, given the recent trends, betting on him to go under 12.5 combined points and assists seems prudent. Wallace has struggled to find his offensive rhythm lately, averaging just 6.4 points and a mere 0.6 assists over his last five games. At home, he's only slightly better, with averages of 7.2 points and 1 assist. Against the Celtics, he's managed just 11 points on average, with a modest 2.5 assists at home. His consistency-or lack thereof-is telling; he's hit under this mark in each of his last 15 contests, home included. With the Celtics' defensive prowess and Wallace's current form, this bet feels like a smart move, aligning with the trends we've seen unfold on the court.

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