Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 11.5 Points + Assists (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder gear up to host the Boston Celtics, all eyes will be on Cason Wallace, but I'm leaning towards an intriguing player prop. With the line set at 11.5 for combined points and assists, it's worth considering the under. Over the last five games, Wallace has averaged just 6.4 points and a mere 0.6 assists overall, and at home, those numbers only marginally improve to 7.2 points and 1 assist. Against the Celtics, he's managed to net only 9 points in his last home encounter, and his playmaking has been similarly muted, with 2.5 assists in that span. With a perfect hit rate of 10/10 in his last ten outings, it seems like a favorable moment for this under bet. Given the matchup dynamics and his current form, I believe Wallace will struggle to eclipse that 11.5 mark tonight.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics : Oklahoma City Thunder Over 101.5 Team Total Points (-714)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been lighting up the scoreboard lately, and there's no reason to believe that trend won't continue against the Boston Celtics. The Thunder have consistently been surpassing the 101.5 point mark in their recent games, illustrating their offensive potency. Additionally, the Celtics' defense has been inconsistent on the road, often allowing their opponents to rack up high point totals. While the model prediction seems conservative, the implied probability and model edge suggest that the Thunder are poised to outperform this prediction. On top of all that, the Thunder are playing at home, where they've historically been a higher-scoring team. All signs point to the Thunder continuing their scoring surge and surpassing the 101.5 point mark.

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