Patrick Corbin (TEX) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Patrick Corbin's recent performance data suggests a strong rationale for betting Over 2.5 on hits allowed. In his last five games, Corbin has an average of 6.2 hits allowed overall and 7.4 hits allowed in away games, both well above the line set for this bet. Moreover, his averages against the Minnesota Twins are even higher, with 8 hits allowed in the last five games. His current away hit streak stands at an impressive 23, indicating a consistent trend of allowing multiple hits in away games. Additionally, his innings pitched and outs achieved averages do not significantly exceed the league average, suggesting he is not unusually effective at preventing hits. These statistics collectively indicate a high likelihood of Corbin allowing over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Harrison Bader (MIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Harrison Bader in the Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers game is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Bader's overall stolen bases average in the last five games is zero, indicating that he hasn't been successful in stealing bases recently. Similarly, his stolen bases average against the opponent team is also zero, suggesting that he struggles to steal bases against the Texas Rangers. Furthermore, his average caught stealing at home is 0.2, meaning he has a higher risk of getting caught when attempting to steal bases at home. Despite his current hitting streak, these statistics suggest that Bader is unlikely to steal a base in this game, making the under 0.5 stolen bases bet a good choice.

Patrick Corbin (TEX) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Patrick Corbin for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is supported by consistent historical data. Corbin's last five games show an average of 1.4 walks allowed overall, and this average increases to 1.6 when he is playing away. Against the Minnesota Twins specifically, his walks allowed average increases further to 2.5. Even when considering innings pitched and outs, which are slightly higher when playing away and against the Twins, the data still suggests that Corbin is likely to allow at least one walk. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, further indicate a tendency for allowing hits. Therefore, statistical performance data indicates that betting on Corbin to allow over 0.5 walks is a good choice.

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