Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 9.5 Points (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Milwaukee Bucks head to Cleveland, all eyes will be on Sam Merrill, but a closer look suggests he might fall short of the 9.5 points mark. Merrill's recent performances paint a telling picture; he's averaging just 6.8 points over his last five games, and even more concerning, he's managed only 3.6 points in away contests. When facing the Cavaliers, he's seen a slight uptick to 10 points on average, but that figure drops to 11.2 when away, raising questions about his consistency on the road.Adding to our case, Merrill has hit the under in seven of his last seven away games, showcasing a trend that's hard to ignore. With an expected stat value of just 6.93 and an overall hit rate of 90% in his last ten outings, it's prudent to expect Merrill to struggle again in this matchup. Betting the under on his points makes for a compelling play.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers : Cleveland Cavaliers win (-435)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we delve into this matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and Cleveland Cavaliers, the Cavaliers stand out as the smart Moneyline pick. Betting on the Cavs isn't just about picking the favourite. It's about backing a team that's shown consistency and dominance in their recent games. The model prediction of 0.9 mirrors this confidence, suggesting a fairly high certainty in a Cavs victory. The Bucks have been struggling this season, particularly with keeping up their defensive intensity, while the Cavaliers have been putting up impressive numbers both offensively and defensively. The Cavaliers' implied probability of 81.3% further indicates the likelihood of their success. So, in this case, betting on the Cavs isn't a gamble, it's a calculated decision based on their recent strong performance and the Bucks' defensive struggles.

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