Garrett Crochet (BOS) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Garrett Crochet’s recent performance data suggests that the Over 2.5 Hits Allowed bet is a good choice. His last five games show an overall average of 3.8 hits allowed, which is higher than the 2.5 line set for this bet. Even when playing away, his average hits allowed is 3, still above the line. When facing the Brewers specifically, his hits allowed average rises to 5. This trend continues despite his average innings pitched and outs remaining relatively stable across all scenarios. Furthermore, he's on a current hit streak of 1 overall, indicating a tendency for allowing hits in consecutive games. Therefore, based on Crochet's recent performance, the probability of him allowing over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game is high, making this a solid bet.

Garrett Crochet (BOS) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Garrett Crochet for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a logical choice, given his recent performances. His last five games show an average of 2 walks allowed overall and 1 walk when playing away. This indicates a consistent pattern of walks, exceeding the line of 0.5. Moreover, his innings pitched, both overall and away, are substantial enough (6.3 and 5.6 respectively), to provide ample opportunities for walks. His current hit streaks, both overall and away (6 and 4 respectively), further demonstrate his vulnerability to conceding hits and subsequently, walks. Also, his outs averages don't drastically differ between overall and away games, suggesting a stable pitching performance. Therefore, the statistical data reinforces the likelihood of Crochet allowing over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.

Joey Ortiz (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Joey Ortiz for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically justified based on his recent performance. Ortiz's recent stealing stats show that he hasn't stolen a base in his last five games overall, his last five home games, or his last five games against the Red Sox. His current hit streak, while impressive, doesn't necessarily correlate to stolen bases. Furthermore, the opposing team has not allowed any stolen bases in their last five games, indicating they have a strong defense against this type of play. So, despite Ortiz's hitting form, his lack of recent stolen bases combined with the Red Sox's effective defense makes the Under 0.5 bet a rational choice.

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