Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies : Under 263.5 Total Points (-2000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Under 263.5' for the Total Points in the Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies game is statistically sound based on both teams' recent performances. The model prediction is significantly lower at 214.33, indicating an expectation of a lower-scoring game. Moreover, the combined average scores of both teams in their last five games (Home Team: 121.4, Away Team: 118.8) only total 240.2, well below the bet's outcome point of 263.5. Even at their highest-scoring recent performances (Home Team at Home: 123.4, Away Team Away: 119.6), the total still only reaches 243, considerably below the outcome point. Thus, the data strongly suggests that the total points in this game will fall under 263.5.

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies : Miami Heat -10 (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Miami Heat's performance at home has been stronger than the Memphis Grizzlies' away performance, with the Heat winning 4 out of their last 5 home games compared to the Grizzlies' 2-3 away record. The Heat also average a higher team score both overall and at home (121.4 and 123.4 respectively) than the Grizzlies do overall and away (118.8 and 119.6 respectively). Furthermore, the Heat maintain a better defensive record at home, with their opponents scoring an average of 120 points per game, compared to the Grizzlies whose opponents score an average of 122.8 points away from home. This indicates that the Heat, playing at home, have a statistical advantage in both offense and defense against the Grizzlies.

Andrew Wiggins (Golden State Warriors) Over 1.5 Threes Made (-200)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Andrew Wiggins to make over 1.5 three-pointers in the Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies game lies in his consistent recent performance. His average number of three-point field goals made over the last five games is 2.2, both overall and at home. This is comfortably above the set line of 1.5. Moreover, when facing the Grizzlies, his average increases to 2.6 overall and 2.7 at home, indicating he performs particularly well against this opponent. His hit rate further substantiates this, with four out of the last five overall games and all of the last six home games exceeding the 1.5 mark. These statistics all point to a high probability that Wiggins will make more than 1.5 three-pointers in the upcoming game.

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