Khris Middleton (Washington Wizards) Under 3.5 Assists (-182)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the matchup between the Grizzlies and Mavericks, targeting Khris Middleton for under 3.5 assists feels like a savvy play. Middleton has averaged just 2.8 assists in his last five games, which aligns closely with his performance at home. While he has managed a respectable 4.5 assists against the Mavericks historically, recent trends tell a different story; he's only hit the over in 3 of his last 11 home games. The Mavericks' defense has been particularly stingy, allowing an average of just 5 assists to opposing players at home. With the odds suggesting a 64.5% implied probability for this bet, coupled with an expected stat value of 2.71, it seems likely we'll see Middleton's playmaking opportunities limited. Given these numbers, taking the under on Middleton's assists is not just a bet-it's a calculated decision based on recent performance and matchup dynamics.

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