Marseille vs Lorient: Lorient Draw No Bet (+500)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Despite Marseille's strong historical record against Lorient, recent performance trends suggest a potential upset. Marseille's last five games have seen them average 0.8 goals per game, while conceding an average of 2 goals per game. Their expected goals (xG) average is also lower than their conceded xG. Conversely, Lorient has been scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game, with an xG that exceeds their conceded xG. Additionally, Lorient's shots on target (Sot) average is higher than Marseille's. While Marseille performs better at home, their recent form indicates a struggle in maintaining their defensive line, which Lorient could exploit. Therefore, betting on Lorient in the Draw No Bet market seems a reasonable choice, considering the potential for an upset based on the current performance trends of both teams.
Marseille vs Lorient: Draw Moneyline (+425)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The draw bet is chosen based on the recent performance of both teams. Marseille and Lorient have struggled in their recent games, with a record of 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 matches. While Marseille has a better home record, they have been outscored by their opponents on average, indicating defensive weaknesses. Lorient, on the other hand, has a poor away record and has been consistently outscored by their hosts. Both teams' Expected Goals (xG) data also support a draw, as both teams have more xG against them than they score. Furthermore, the teams' average scores are close to each other, suggesting a competitive match. Considering these factors, a draw seems a likely outcome in the upcoming match.
Marseille vs Lorient: Draw Moneyline (+425)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on a 'Draw' in the Marseille vs Lorient game is statistically plausible given both teams' recent performances. Marseille's home record is mixed (3-1-1) and they have been underperforming with an average score of 0.8 over the last 5 games, despite a higher expected goal (xG) average of 1.22. Lorient, on the other hand, has a poor away record (0-1-4) and an average score of 0.6 in away games, underperforming their xG of 0.94. Both teams have similar defensive statistics, indicating a balanced match. Additionally, both teams have been struggling to win recently, with a 1-0-4 record in their last 5 games. Given these stats, a draw seems a likely outcome as both teams are struggling to score more than their opponents, indicating a closely fought match.
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