Casey Schmitt (SFG) Under 1.5 Walks (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Casey Schmitt for Under 1.5 in the Batter Walks market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Schmitt's last five games show a consistent average of zero walks, both overall and specifically when playing away. This trend holds even when facing the Dodgers, indicating his approach at the plate doesn't change significantly based on the opponent. Additionally, his plate appearances are relatively low, averaging 3.4 overall and 3.7 when playing away, limiting his opportunities to draw walks. Further strengthening the case for this bet is Schmitt's current hit streak. A 100-game overall hit streak and a 69-game away hit streak suggest Schmitt is more likely to hit than to draw a walk. These factors combined make the Under 1.5 Batter Walks bet for Casey Schmitt a statistically strong choice.

Matt Chapman (SFG) Under 1.5 Doubles (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 bet for Matt Chapman in the Batter Doubles market is statistically justified considering his recent performance data. Chapman's last five games show an average of only 0.2 doubles overall, and no doubles at all in away games or against the Dodgers. His hit rate also declines in away games, dropping from an overall average of 0.6 to just 0.6 in away games. Even against the Dodgers, his hit average is only 0.8. Despite his impressive overall and away hit streaks, his doubles production has been significantly lower. Therefore, the likelihood of him hitting under 1.5 doubles in this away game against the Dodgers is high, making this bet a solid choice based on the available data.

Patrick Bailey (SFG) Under 1.5 Singles (-455)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Patrick Bailey for Under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is backed by his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Bailey's average for overall and away singles is 0.6 and 0.4 respectively, significantly below the line of 1.5. Even against the Dodgers, his batting average is 1.2, which is still below the line. Despite his impressive hit streaks, the data implies that these are not typically composed of multiple singles within the same game. Furthermore, the Dodgers' recent stats show they allow an average of only 0.8 singles per game, reinforcing the likelihood of Bailey hitting under 1.5. This bet is therefore statistically sound, as Bailey's recent performance and the Dodgers' defensive stats both suggest a lower likelihood of him exceeding 1.5 singles in the game.

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