Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees : Under 9.5 Total Runs (-143)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Under 9.5' for the Total Runs in the Royals vs Yankees game is backed by several factors. Both teams have been scoring low in their last five games, with the Royals averaging 2.6 runs and the Yankees averaging 3.2 runs. This means their combined average is 5.8 runs, well below the line of 9.5. Additionally, the Royals have been effective at home, allowing an average of only 2.4 runs. The Yankees have also been strong defensively, allowing an average of 3.4 runs away. Furthermore, both teams have had relatively low batting hits and home runs in their last five games. Given these scoring and defensive trends, it's statistically likely that the total runs will fall under 9.5.

Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees : Over 6.5 alternate_team_totals (+210)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The New York Yankees are a strong choice for betting over 6.5 team total runs. The Yankees have been averaging 3.2 runs per game in their last 5 games, both overall and away. Their average batting hits are also consistent at 7.8, indicating a solid offensive performance. On the other hand, the Kansas City Royals have been struggling defensively, allowing an average of 4.4 runs in their last 5 games overall, although they have a better record at home (2.4 runs allowed). However, the Royals' recent record against the Yankees is not encouraging (1-4), implying that they have difficulty containing the Yankees' offense. Considering these factors, the Yankees' potential to score over 6.5 runs is statistically sound.

Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees : Under 9.5 Total Runs (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Under 9.5' bet for the Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees game is a solid choice based on the teams' recent scoring and defensive performances. Over their last five games, the Royals and Yankees have averaged only 2.6 and 3.2 runs scored respectively, well below the 9.5 total runs line. The Royals have also been particularly strong defensively at home, allowing just 2.4 runs on average in their last five home games. Additionally, both teams have shown modest batting averages and home run rates, which further reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The Royals' higher average of strikeouts pitched at home, compared to the Yankees' average, suggests they may be able to further limit the Yankees' scoring. These factors collectively indicate a lower scoring game, making the 'Under 9.5' bet a statistically sound choice.

Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees : Under 8.5 Total Runs (+114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Under 8.5' for the Total Runs in the Royals vs Yankees game is based on recent performance data. Both teams have shown relatively low scoring trends in their last five games, with the Royals averaging 2.6 runs and the Yankees 3.2 runs, which totals 5.8 runs on average per game, significantly under the 8.5 line. Furthermore, the Royals have a strong home record with an average of only 2.4 runs allowed, suggesting their defense is effective in their home stadium. The Yankees' recent away games also show a modest average of 3.4 runs allowed. The average batting hits and home runs for both teams align with these low scoring trends. The model prediction of 8.11 also supports the 'Under 8.5' bet. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's statistically likely that the total runs will be under 8.5.

Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees : Over 6.5 alternate_team_totals (+195)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'New York Yankees Over 6.5' for the Team Total Runs is primarily based on the Yankees' offensive performance and the Royals' defensive vulnerabilities. The Yankees have an average of 7.8 hits per game in their last five outings, indicating a strong offensive line. Furthermore, the Royals have a poor record against the Yankees, winning only one out of their last five encounters. This suggests that the Yankees have typically been successful at penetrating the Royals' defense. Additionally, the Royals have allowed an average of 4.4 runs per game overall in their last five games, further highlighting their defensive weakness. Although the Royals' home runs allowed average is lower at 2.4, the Yankees' consistent offensive performance suggests they could potentially exceed this.

Austin Wells (NYY) Over 0.5 Hits (-185)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Austin Wells for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Wells has an average of 0.4 hits in his last five games overall, his last five away games, and his last five games against the Royals. This consistency across different scenarios suggests a strong likelihood of at least one hit in the upcoming game. Additionally, his plate appearance averages are relatively high, with 3.8 in the last five games overall and away, and 3.2 against the Royals. This means he is getting ample opportunities to hit. Even though his current hit streak is at zero, the consistent averages indicate a high probability of him getting a hit in the next game. Therefore, betting on Wells for Over 0.5 hits is statistically sound.

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