Juventus vs Lecce: Draw Moneyline (+425)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Despite Juventus' superior historical record against Lecce, recent performance data suggests a draw is a viable outcome. Juventus' average score in the last five games is lower than the average goals they've conceded (0.8 vs 1.4). Lecce, although struggling in recent matches, have shown resilience by maintaining an average score of 1 goal in away games. Furthermore, Juventus' expected goals (xG) at home (1.38) is only slightly higher than Lecce's xG away (0.82), indicating a close match. The average opponent xG at home for Juventus and away for Lecce are also similar (1.28 vs 1.46), further suggesting a balanced game. Thus, the data implies a potential draw, with both teams likely to score and concede in equal measure.
Juventus vs Lecce: Draw Moneyline (+425)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The draw bet for the Juventus vs Lecce match is driven by several key statistics. Firstly, Juventus' home scoring average (0.8) is close to Lecce's away scoring average (1.0), indicating a potential parity in goals. Moreover, the home team's expected goals (xG) average (1.34) is not significantly higher than the away team's (0.84), suggesting a close contest. Additionally, Juventus' recent form has been mixed with 2 losses in their last 5 games, which weakens their dominance. Lecce, despite their poor overall record, has managed to score in their away games and could hold Juventus to a draw. Lastly, the historical head-to-head record shows a draw in one of the last five encounters, further supporting the possibility of a draw outcome.
Juventus vs Lecce: Lecce Moneyline (+950)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Lecce is a strategic gamble based on their potential for an upset. Despite Juventus' superior home record, they've been underperforming recently, averaging 0.8 goals compared to Lecce's 1.0 away score. Juventus' expected goals (xG) at home is also only slightly higher (1.38) than Lecce's away xG (0.82). Interestingly, Lecce's opponent xG when playing away is lower (1.46) than Juventus' home opponent xG (1.28), indicating Lecce's solid defensive play on the road. Lecce also shows discipline with fewer yellow cards (0.4) than Juventus (0.2) in their recent games. Given these factors, while a Lecce win is not the most probable outcome, the statistics suggest that they could pose a stronger challenge than the odds imply, hence making the bet a worthwhile risk.
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