Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder : Indiana Pacers Over 97.5 Team Total Points (-625)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on 'Indiana Pacers Over 97.5' for the Team Total Points is backed by their recent scoring trends. Despite a 2-3 home record in the last 5 games, the Pacers have consistently put up high point totals. Their overall average score over these games is 122.2 points, significantly above the bet's threshold of 97.5 points. Even considering home games only, where their record is weaker (1-4), their scoring average still remains high at 121 points. The model prediction of 112.88 points further supports this bet. It's clear that even when losing, the Pacers have been scoring prolifically, making the Over 97.5 bet a statistically sound choice.
Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers) Over 0.5 Assists (-233)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Bennedict Mathurin for Over 0.5 assists in the Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder game is a statistically sound choice due to several factors. Firstly, Mathurin's average assists over the last five games, both overall and at home, are at 1. This means he typically exceeds the target of 0.5 assists. Furthermore, when looking at his last five games against the Thunder, Mathurin's average assists remain consistent at 1. His overall hit rate for the last five games is 80% (4/5) while his home hit rate for the last 20 games is at a robust 80% (16/20). These numbers indicate a strong pattern of Mathurin consistently delivering more than 0.5 assists, making this bet a statistically rational choice.
Isaiah Hartenstein (LA Clippers) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Isaiah Hartenstein's combined average of points, rebounds, and assists over the last five games is 13.4, which is close to the bet's target of 14.5. His performance on away games is even more impressive, averaging 10.8 in the same categories. Moreover, against the Pacers (the current opponent), his numbers increase slightly, especially when playing away, reaching an average of 13.8. Importantly, Hartenstein's expected stat value of 18.74 significantly exceeds the bet's outcome point, indicating a high likelihood of surpassing the bet target. Lastly, his hit rates, both overall (12/18) and away (14/20), are strong, further supporting the potential for a successful bet. Thus, the bet on Hartenstein to go over 14.5 points, rebounds, and assists is statistically reasonable.
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