Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks Prediction & Picks (Calsher Dear Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

Jarman Impey, with an impressive 8-game hit streak overall and a perfect 5/5 hit rate in away games, is set to shine against GWS Giants. His recent form, averaging 24.2 disposals overall and 21.6 disposals in away matches, exceeds the line of 19.5. Impey's 13.8 kicks per game and 7.8 handballs suggest he'll be actively involved, especially against an opponent he's comfortably averaged 12.4 disposals in their recent matchups. His solid disposal efficiency of 77.0% and ability to gain an average of 465.8 meters per game indicate he'll be a key player in driving Hawthorn's offense. Backed by his strong stats and current form, Impey is poised to surpass the 19.5 disposals mark.

Callum Brown (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-256)

Callum Brown is a strong bet to score anytime against Hawthorn based on his recent form. With an average of 1.8 goals in his last 5 home games and 2 goals in his last 5 matchups against Hawthorn, he consistently finds the big sticks. Brown's high score involvements (5.2) and shots at goal (2.6) indicate his active presence in the forward line, increasing his chances of hitting the scoreboard. Additionally, his solid goal accuracy of 53.3% at home boosts his scoring reliability. Considering his recent performance and historical success against Hawthorn, backing Brown to snag a goal is a promising wager.

Finn Callaghan (GWS GIANTS) Over 24.5 Disposals (-217)

Finn Callaghan is poised to shine with his recent form, averaging 27 disposals in his last five home games. His consistency in contested possessions (10.8 avg), kicks (14.6 avg), and disposal efficiency (71.7%) bodes well. Facing Hawthorn, he historically exceeds the line, averaging 20.6 disposals against them. With a current hit streak of 3 and a strong hit rate of 7/8 at home, Finn is in a prime position to dominate. The model's prediction of 27.7 disposals, coupled with a 5.5% edge, suggests a high probability of him surpassing the 24.5 line, making this Over bet on Finn Callaghan a logical choice for Saturday's game.

Josh Ward (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Josh Ward is a solid bet to go over 14.5 disposals against GWS Giants based on his consistent performance. With a model predicting him to reach 20.7 disposals and an implied probability of 85.5%, Ward's recent averages of 18 disposals (L5 away games) and 19.2 disposals (L5 overall) demonstrate his capability to meet this line. His exceptional disposal efficiency of 78.5% (L5 away) further supports his ability to maintain possession effectively. Additionally, Ward's current hit streak of 7 games and 3/3 hit rate in away games indicate strong form and reliability, making the Over 14.5 disposals a favorable wager.

Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-333)

Karl Amon is a solid choice for the Over 19.5 disposals bet. His model-predicted 23.7 disposals, coupled with a consistent average of 25.4 disposals in his last five away games, indicates he regularly surpasses this line. Amon's recent form against the upcoming opponent and overall performance further support this bet. His 83.6% disposal efficiency and ability to gain significant meters (637.8 avg) make him a reliable ball carrier. With a current hit streak of 4 games and a perfect hit rate in the last four away games, Amon's trend suggests he is in form and likely to meet or exceed the disposal line, making this bet appealing for bettors.