Matas Buzelis (Chicago Bulls) Under 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Chicago Bulls head to Golden State, all eyes will be on Matas Buzelis, but I'm leaning toward the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 26.5. The numbers reveal a concerning trend; over his last five games, Buzelis has averaged just 13.4 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 2.4 assists, which comfortably lands him below our target. When he steps onto the road, those numbers dip even further, with averages of 14 points and a mere 1.6 assists. Against the Warriors, he's been particularly muted, averaging just 9.5 points and 0 assists in recent matchups. With a hit rate of only 25% on the road against this opponent, and given his expected performance value of just 22.25, it's hard to see him surpassing that 26.5 mark. It feels like a solid under bet in what should be a tough

Matas Buzelis (Chicago Bulls) Under 8.5 Rebounds + Assists (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Matas Buzelis hits the hardwood against the Warriors, the spotlight shifts to his rebounds and assists prop, set at 8.5. Recent performances reveal a trend that's hard to ignore. Averaging just 4.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists over his last five games, he's well below this line. When on the road, those numbers dip even further to 2.4 boards and just 1.6 assists. Facing a dynamic Warriors team, the challenge intensifies, considering Buzelis has only managed to net an average of 4 rebounds and 2.5 assists against them lately. With a solid 12 out of 16 hit rate for the under, and a remarkable 17 out of 20 away from home, the under seems a savvy play. Expect a focused Warriors defense to keep Buzelis in check, making the under 8.5 a compelling option in this matchup.

Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls : Golden State Warriors Under 127.5 Team Total Points (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Golden State Warriors are matching up against the Chicago Bulls, but this bet isn't about who will win; it's about the number of points the Warriors will score. The model predicts the Warriors to score around 108.8 points - a significant gap from the 127.5 line. This number doesn't come out of nowhere; it's based on the Warriors' past performances and the Bulls' defensive capabilities. Interestingly, even with the Warriors' firepower, they've been trending under this total recently. On the other side of the court, the Bulls have been tightening up their defense, which does not bode well for the Warriors' scoring prospects. The 84.0% implied probability further strengthens our confidence in this bet. In essence, the numbers suggest that the Warriors are likely to score less than 127.5 points in this game. Thus, 'Golden State Warriors Under 127.5' is our chosen bet.

Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls : Chicago Bulls Over 101.5 Team Total Points (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Bulls' offense has been tearing through defenses this season, and their matchup against the Warriors isn't likely to slow them down. The model predicts a robust score of 108.8 points for the Bulls, significantly above the line of 101.5, suggesting a comfortable buffer. While the Warriors have a solid defense, the Bulls have shown they can rack up points against even the toughest opponents. Their implied probability of scoring over 101.5 points is a whopping 84.7%, further cementing the strength of this bet. Simply put, the Bulls have the offensive firepower, the Warriors' defense isn't impenetrable, and our model is confident in a high-scoring performance from Chicago. So, betting on the Bulls to score over 101.5 points seems like an intelligent choice.

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