Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 39.5 Points (-1250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to host the Houston Rockets, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting on the Under 39.5 points could be a savvy move. Despite his stellar ability, Jokic's recent performances tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaged 28 points, and when playing at home, that number dips to just 21. Against the Rockets, even with their defensive vulnerabilities, Jokic has managed only 26 points at home in their recent encounters. With the Nuggets looking to distribute the ball more and utilize their depth, it's unlikely he'll need to shoulder the scoring burden as he has in the past. Plus, his consistency with hitting the Under at home-8 for 8 recently-further strengthens the case. With an expected stat value around 30, it seems prudent to lean into the Under for Jokic this time around.

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