Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) Under 5.5 Assists (-172)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Houston Rockets take on the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Amen Thompson, particularly for his assist total. Playing away from home, Thompson has averaged just 3.8 assists in his last five road games, a stark contrast to the 5.5-line we're facing. In fact, against the Nuggets, he hasn't managed to dish out a single assist in their last few encounters-zero across the board. With the Nuggets boasting a stingy defense that excels at limiting playmakers, it's tough to envision Thompson breaking through that barrier. His recent performance shows a consistent trend of underwhelming assist totals, hitting the under in six straight games. The numbers clearly suggest that Thompson is likely to fall short again, making the under on 5.5 assists a solid bet as he navigates a challenging matchup in Denver.

Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets) Over 3.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Jamal Murray has carved out a niche as a rebounding guard, particularly when the Nuggets play at home. With the Rockets rolling into Denver, this matchup presents a prime opportunity for Murray to exceed the 3.5 rebound mark. Over his last five home games, he's averaged an impressive 5.2 rebounds, consistently exceeding expectations. Murray's rebounding prowess shines even brighter against Houston; he's pulled down an average of 4.2 boards in their recent encounters at home. History is on his side as well, with a staggering hit rate of 10 out of his last 11 games hitting the Over. With a projected average of 4.88 rebounds for this matchup, it feels like a perfect storm. Given these trends, betting on Murray to grab over 3.5 rebounds is not just a smart play; it's practically a no-brainer.

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets : Denver Nuggets Under 128.5 Team Total Points (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Houston Rockets are a team with a flair for defense, often keeping their opponents' scores in check. Facing the Denver Nuggets, it's likely this game won't be a high-scoring affair. The Nuggets have been reliable, but they tend to fall short of the 128.5 mark. Our model prediction places them just under at 128.09. Furthermore, the Rockets have been showing an uptick in their defensive play, which could curb the Nuggets' scoring potential. The Nuggets' performance history and the Rockets' defensive prowess make a compelling case for betting on the Nuggets to score under 128.5. Remember, betting is all about probabilities, and the numbers suggest that this outcome has a higher likelihood. So, let's play the percentages and go with the Denver Nuggets Under 128.5 in the Team Total Points (Alternate) market.

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