Cam Spencer (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 21.5 Points + Assists (-556)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

There's no denying Cam Spencer's ability. He's an explosive player who can light up the scoreboard on any given night. But on this particular Saturday evening, as his Grizzlies stroll into Dallas, we're banking on a quieter performance from the dynamic guard. This isn't a hunch. It's about the numbers. Spencer has consistently hit under 21.5 points plus assists in his last 20 away games. That's right, a perfect 11 out of 11 times. Not to mention, this stat has held true 20 out of 20 times overall. Furthermore, the model's indicating a strong 14.8% edge and a hefty 84.7% implied probability that Spencer will not exceed this threshold. So, while Spencer's talent is undeniable, we're playing the percentages this time around. Let's roll with the under 21.5 on points plus assists for Cam Spencer. Time to cash in on this trend.

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies : Memphis Grizzlies Over 104.5 Team Total Points (-1000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Memphis Grizzlies have been lighting up the scoreboard lately, averaging 118.8 points over their last five games, well above the 104.5 total points target for this bet. This offensive trend continues even when they're on the road, where they've managed to put up an impressive 119.6 points per game. Despite their recent 2-3 record, it's clear that scoring isn't their problem, considering their opponents have only marginally outscored them with an average of 120.8 points. Our model also predicts a high-scoring affair with the Grizzlies producing around 122.71 points. Given these offensive statistics, backing the Grizzlies to score over 104.5 points seems like a finely tuned bet in the upcoming clash against the Dallas Mavericks.

Jaylen Wells (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-1000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we dive into the heart of the basketball season, the Memphis Grizzlies' sharpshooter Jaylen Wells is on our radar. But not for the reason you might think. We're actually eyeing the Under on Wells' threes made prop at 3.5. Sure, Wells can light it up from deep, but his recent performances paint a telling picture. Averaging just one three across his last five games - both home and away - the numbers certainly don't favor a sudden downtown deluge. And when we focus on the Grizzlies' road performances, the under looks even more enticing. Wells' three-point success rate dips slightly to 1.2 on enemy hardwood. Facing the Mavericks, his trey tally has averaged out to a mere 1.3 and even on their home turf, the numbers don't spike; we're still looking at a modest 1.5. For Wells, it seems the threes just aren't falling as frequently as they'd

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