Tarik Skubal (DET) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Tarik Skubal for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is backed by a consistent pattern in his recent performance data. Skubal's last five games show an average of 5.4 hits allowed overall, and 5.6 when playing away, significantly higher than the line of 1.5. His innings pitched (IP) averages are also consistent at 5.6 overall and 5.5 away, suggesting he's on the mound long enough for the hits to accumulate. His current hit streaks further support the bet, with 27 overall and 14 away. Even when we consider his performance against the Cleveland Guardians specifically, his average hits allowed is 5.5, again well over the line. This consistent pattern across different conditions suggests a high probability of Skubal allowing more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game.
Gavin Williams (CLE) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on Gavin Williams for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is based on his consistent performance data. On average, Williams has allowed 4.6 hits overall and 5 hits at home in his last five appearances. Even when facing the Detroit Tigers, his hits allowed average remains high at 4.5. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages suggest he's on the mound long enough for the opposition to capitalize. His current hit streak both overall and at home also supports this bet. The consistent pattern of allowing more than 1.5 hits, regardless of location or opponent, indicates a high probability of this trend continuing. Therefore, betting over 1.5 for Williams' hits allowed is statistically justified.
Zach McKinstry (DET) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Zach McKinstry for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, both overall and away, McKinstry has averaged zero stolen bases. He also has not been caught stealing in these games, indicating a lack of attempts. Furthermore, his performance against the Cleveland Guardians shows no stolen bases in the last five games. Despite his impressive current hit streaks, both overall and away, these hits have not translated into stolen bases. Therefore, the betting rationale is based on McKinstry's consistent lack of stolen bases in recent games, both overall and specifically when playing away, as well as his performance against the Cleveland Guardians. This pattern strongly suggests that he is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game.
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