Nick Lodolo (CIN) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Nick Lodolo's recent performance data strongly supports the Over 2.5 Hits Allowed bet. He has averaged 4.8 hits allowed in his last five games, nearly double the bet line. This trend is even more pronounced in home games, where Lodolo's hit allowance jumps to an average of 6.4. His innings pitched per game, both overall and at home, suggest he's likely to be on the mound long enough to concede more than 2.5 hits. Furthermore, Lodolo is currently on a five-game streak of allowing hits, which extends to a three-game streak in home games. These consistent recent trends in Lodolo's performances make the Over 2.5 Hits Allowed bet a statistically sound choice.

Nick Lodolo (CIN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Nick Lodolo's recent performance data supports the bet for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market. His last five overall games show an average of 3.6 strikeouts, which is above the proposed line of 2.5. Even when considering his home game statistics, Lodolo's average remains strong at 3.8 strikeouts. This suggests that his performance is consistent regardless of the venue. Moreover, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, indicate a consistent ability to strike out batters. The overall hit streak of 4 and an impressive home hit streak of 22 further reinforce Lodolo's consistent performance. Therefore, based on Lodolo's recent averages and hit streaks, there is a high probability that he will achieve over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.

Matt McLain (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Matt McLain for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. McLain's average stolen base rate over the last five games is 0.2, indicating that he typically does not steal a base in most games. This trend is consistent even when playing at home with an average of 0.4 stolen bases. Furthermore, McLain's current hit streak, both overall and at home, is only at 1. This suggests he is not consistently getting on base, which reduces his opportunities to steal. Additionally, his caught stealing average is zero, suggesting he's not attempting many steals. Therefore, the data suggests that the likelihood of McLain stealing a base in the upcoming game is low, making the Under 0.5 bet a solid choice.

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