Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays : Under 12.5 Total Runs (-385)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The 'Under 12.5' bet for the total runs is a strong choice given recent performance data. The Boston Red Sox average 5.2 runs scored at home over the last five games, while the Tampa Bay Rays have struggled offensively, averaging just 1.6 runs per game on the road. Both teams have also demonstrated strong pitching, with the Red Sox allowing an average of 2.8 runs at home and the Rays allowing 4 runs on the road. The combined average runs scored by both teams in their recent games is far below the line of 12.5. Furthermore, the low batting averages and home runs of both teams suggest a low-scoring game. This, coupled with the relatively high strikeout averages and low walk averages, indicates strong pitching and defensive play, further supporting the 'Under 12.5' bet.

Ryan Pepiot (TBR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-2000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Ryan Pepiot's recent pitching performance strongly supports the bet for over 2.5 strikeouts. His last five overall games show an average of 6.2 strikeouts and his last five games against the Red Sox specifically show an even higher average of 7 strikeouts. Even when playing away, Pepiot's strikeout average remains solid at 5. His overall current hit streak stands at 8, further indicating his consistent performance. Although his innings pitched and outs averages slightly decrease when playing away, they still remain high enough to provide ample opportunities for strikeouts. Given these statistics, it is highly likely that Pepiot will achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays : Under 1.5 alternate_team_totals (+560)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Boston Red Sox Under 1.5' for the Team Total Runs is a calculated risk based on the Red Sox's recent performance and the Rays' defensive prowess. The Red Sox's batting average over the last five games is a strong 6.8, and they've been scoring an average of 5.2 runs per game. However, the Rays have been limiting teams to an average of 4 runs in their last five away games. This suggests a strong defensive strategy that could potentially limit the Red Sox's scoring. The Rays' pitchers have also been limiting their walks, averaging just 3 per game in their last five away games. This could limit the Red Sox's opportunities to get on base and score runs. Given these factors, the bet on the Red Sox to score under 1.5 runs could be a profitable one.

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