Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets : Under 11.5 Total Runs (-333)

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The 'Under 11.5' bet for the Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets game is a strong choice based on the teams' recent performances. Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive play, with the Braves allowing an average of 3.6 runs per game and the Mets allowing just 2.6 runs. Furthermore, the Mets' Away L5 average runs scored is 3.4, significantly lower than the home team's average. The data also indicates that both teams are not high scoring, with the Braves and Mets' L5 overall runs scored averages at 5.2 and 4.4 respectively. Additionally, both teams have relatively low batting averages and home run rates. The combined average runs scored and allowed by both teams in their last five games is less than 11.5, indicating a high likelihood that the total runs in this game will fall under the set line.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets : Under 12 Total Runs (-417)

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The 'Under 12' bet for the Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets game is backed by several key statistics. Firstly, the average runs scored by both teams in their last five games are 5.2 and 4.4 respectively, totaling 9.6, which is significantly under the line of 12. Secondly, the runs allowed by both teams in their last five games are also low, with the Braves allowing an average of 3.6 and the Mets 2.6, which further supports a low-scoring game. The batting averages for both teams are moderate, and the pitching strikeout averages, especially for the Mets at 10.6, suggest strong defensive plays. These factors combined make a strong case for a total score under 12.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets : Under 10.5 Total Runs (-217)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Under 10.5' bet is a sound choice for the Braves vs Mets game due to several statistical indicators. Firstly, both teams' recent scoring averages are below the line. The Braves have an average of 5.2 runs in their last 5 games, and the Mets are averaging 4.4, which totals 9.6, well below 10.5. Secondly, both teams have strong recent defensive records, with the Braves allowing an average of 3.6 runs and the Mets only 2.6 in their last 5 games. Thirdly, the Mets' strong pitching strikeout average of 10.6, combined with both teams' relatively low batting hit averages, suggests that scoring will be suppressed. Finally, the model prediction of 8.34 runs is significantly below the line. These factors indicate a lower-scoring game, making 'Under 10.5' a good bet.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets : Atlanta Braves Win (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Atlanta Braves are a strong choice for the Moneyline market due to their recent performance. In their last five games, the Braves have a 4-1 record both at home and against the New York Mets, demonstrating a consistent winning trend. They've also been scoring an average of 5.2 runs per game, which is higher than the Mets' average of 4.4 overall and 3.4 away. Although the Mets have a slightly better defensive record, allowing only 2.6 runs per game, the Braves' higher scoring average may overcome this. Therefore, based on the Braves' recent winning record, superior scoring average, and their past performance against the Mets, the bet on the Braves is statistically justified.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets : Under 11.5 Total Runs (-370)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The 'Under 11.5' bet is a strong choice for the Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets game. The Braves' and Mets' recent performance data suggests a low-scoring game. In their last five games, the Braves have averaged 5.2 runs at home, while the Mets have averaged only 3.4 runs away. The teams' strong defensive records also support this bet. The Braves have allowed an average of 3.6 runs in their last five home games, while the Mets have allowed only 2.6 runs in their last five away games. Furthermore, the Mets' pitchers have been striking out an impressive average of 7.8 batters in their last five away games. This indicates a strong pitching performance that could limit the Braves' scoring opportunities. Overall, these statistics suggest a total run score that will fall under 11.5.

Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits (-278)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Francisco Lindor has been performing well recently, especially in away games. His last five games show an average of 1.2 hits in away games and an overall hit average of 1.8. This suggests that he's likely to get at least one hit in the upcoming game. His plate appearances (PA) also support this, with an average of 5 in away games, providing ample opportunities for hits. Furthermore, Lindor is on a hit streak, both overall and specifically in away games, with streaks of 3 and 5 respectively. This indicates a consistent performance. Although his average hits against the Braves are slightly lower at 0.8, his current form suggests he's likely to overcome this. Therefore, betting on Lindor to have over 0.5 hits is a good choice based on his recent performance and current form.

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