German Marquez (COL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-769)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on German Marquez for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed (Alternate) market is a solid choice based on his recent performances. Over the last five games, Marquez has allowed an average of 2.4 walks overall and 1.4 walks when playing away. This indicates a consistent trend of allowing at least one walk per game, which is double the line set for this bet. His average innings pitched also supports this, with 3.9 innings overall and 3.5 away, giving ample opportunity for a walk to occur. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, suggest he is in a phase of conceding hits and possibly walks. Therefore, the statistical evidence strongly points towards Marquez allowing more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Atlanta Braves.

German Marquez (COL) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on German Marquez to allow over 3.5 hits is a statistically sound choice. Over the last five games, Marquez has consistently allowed more than the line of 3.5 hits, with an average of 5.4 overall and 5.6 when playing away. His innings pitched and outs averages also support this trend, with lower numbers indicating he's often removed from the game before limiting hit opportunities. Furthermore, Marquez is on a current hit streak of 6 overall, and 7 for away games, showing a persistent pattern of giving up hits. This consistent performance, coupled with the high implied probability of 90.9%, indicates a strong likelihood of this trend continuing in the upcoming game against the Atlanta Braves. Therefore, the data suggests that betting on Marquez to allow over 3.5 hits is a good choice.

Bryce Elder (ATL) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Bryce Elder for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is statistically sound, considering his recent performance data. Elder's last five games have seen him average 6.2 hits allowed overall, and 7 hits allowed at home. This is significantly above the bet line of 2.5. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) averages are below 5 both overall and at home, meaning he's allowing more than one hit per inning on average. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, are also notably high at 19 and 20 respectively. Even when considering his performance against the Rockies, his hits allowed average is 6, again well above the bet line. Therefore, based on Elder's recent form, the Over 2.5 bet is a statistically strong choice.

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