Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers : Over 7.5 Total Runs (-189)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Over 7.5' for the Total Runs in the Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers game is backed by several key statistics. Firstly, the Away team's recent scoring record is strong, averaging 5.8 runs overall in the last five games and 4.8 runs when playing away. This is coupled with the Home team's recent record of allowing an average of 3.7 runs, which increases the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Furthermore, the Away team's batting average is higher than the Home team's, with 8.4 and 7.2 hits respectively in the last five games. This indicates a higher potential for runs. Lastly, the Away team's pitcher strikeout average is lower than the Home team's, suggesting a higher likelihood of the Home team making contact and potentially scoring runs. These factors combined suggest a strong possibility of the game's total runs exceeding 7.5.

Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers : Over 4.5 alternate_team_totals (+135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting choice of 'Washington Nationals Over 4.5' in the Team Total Runs market is backed by their recent offensive performance. Despite a less-than-ideal overall record, the Nationals have shown a strong offensive output at home, averaging 4 runs per game in their last five home games. This is in line with the betting line of 4.5 runs. Additionally, their average batting hits in home games are significantly higher (7.2) compared to their overall average (5.2), indicating a stronger offensive performance at home. On the other hand, the Brewers have been allowing an average of 3.4 runs in their last five away games, and their pitchers have given up more base-on-balls (4.4) in away games. This combination of the Nationals' strong home batting and the Brewers' weaker away pitching makes the bet a promising choice.

Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers : Over 7 Total Runs (-250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Over 7' for the Total Runs in the Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers game is a good choice based on their recent offensive performances. The Nationals have averaged 4 runs at home in their last 5 games, while the Brewers have averaged 4.8 runs in their last 5 away games. This combined average of 8.8 runs is significantly higher than the line of 7. Additionally, both teams have been hitting well, with the Nationals averaging 7.2 hits at home and the Brewers averaging 7.6 hits away. This indicates a high scoring potential. Furthermore, the Brewers' higher-than-average runs allowed on the road (3.4) suggests the Nationals may score more than usual. The model prediction also supports this bet, predicting a total of 9.44 runs, which is well above the line. Therefore, the 'Over 7' bet is statistically justified.

Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers : Over 6 Total Runs (-400)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Over 6' for total runs in the Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers game is a good choice based on recent performance data. Both teams have demonstrated strong offensive capabilities, with the Nationals averaging 4 runs at home and the Brewers averaging 5.8 runs overall in their last 5 games. Additionally, the Brewers have shown strong batting with an average of 8.4 hits overall in their last 5 games. Despite the Nationals' recent struggles, they have still managed to average 7.2 hits at home in their last 5 games. Considering these offensive statistics, along with the fact that both teams have allowed more than 2 runs per game on average in their last 5 outings, it suggests a high probability of the total runs exceeding 6.

Jose Quintana (MIL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Quintana to deliver over 2.5 strikeouts is supported by his recent performance data. In his last five overall games, Quintana has averaged 4.4 strikeouts, well above the line of 2.5. Even when looking at his last five away games, his strikeout average remains high at 4.8. His innings pitched (IP) averages also suggest he'll have sufficient time on the mound to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts, with both overall and away IP averages exceeding 5 innings. Moreover, his current hit streak indicates a consistent performance. Although his average strikeouts against the Nationals and in away games are slightly lower, they still exceed the 2.5 line. Therefore, based on Quintana's recent form, the bet for him to exceed 2.5 strikeouts is statistically justified.

Jose Quintana (MIL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Quintana for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a solid choice given his recent performances. Quintana's last five overall and away games show a consistent average of over 4 strikeouts, comfortably above the 2.5 line. His innings pitched (IP) and outs averages also support his ability to stay in the game long enough to achieve this strikeout target. Specifically, his last five away games show an average IP of 5.8 and 17.6 outs, indicating he's on the mound long enough to secure strikeouts. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further underscore his consistent performance. Although his strikeout average against the Nationals is slightly lower (3.8), it's still above the 2.5 line. Therefore, based on his recent form and performance against the Nationals, Quintana is likely to exceed the 2.5 strikeouts line.

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