Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Under 3.5 Assists (-154)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Raptors gear up to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Grayson Allen, but betting on him to dish out more than 3.5 assists feels risky. Over his last five outings, Allen has averaged just 2.8 assists, and when you zoom in on his performance away from home, that number barely ticks up to 3. He's had some solid games, sure, but when matched against the Suns, who have held him to an average of just 2 assists in their recent encounters, the trend looks even bleaker. With an impressive hit rate of 4 out of 5 for going under, and 3 for 3 on the road, it's clear that the odds favor a quieter playmaking night for Allen. In this matchup, the expectation is for him to fall short of that 3.5 mark, making the under an enticing option to consider.

Toronto Raptors vs Phoenix Suns : Toronto Raptors win (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Toronto Raptors hosting the Phoenix Suns is a matchup that promises to spark fireworks. The Raptors have been in scintillating form at home, dominating their court with a level of intensity that's hard to match. Conversely, the Suns' performance on the road has been less than stellar, struggling to replicate their home court dominance when they travel. The stats suggest that the Raptors' home advantage could tip the scales in their favor, reflecting a higher model prediction of 0.92 compared to the Suns. This combined with a model edge of 2.9% and an implied probability of 64.1% further bolsters the case for the Raptors. Considering these elements, the wise bet here would be on the Toronto Raptors on the Moneyline market. Their proven performance, coupled with the Suns' struggles on the road, creates a compelling betting story.

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