Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 6.5 Assists (-167)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons welcome the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Daniss Jenkins and his playmaking. While Jenkins has shown flashes of brilliance, the numbers suggest we should lean toward the under 6.5 assists for him in this matchup. He's hit this mark just 3.29 times on average lately, and over the last 20 games, he's only surpassed this assist total in 3 out of 20, showcasing a hit rate of just 15%. Playing at home, where he's been more productive, Jenkins still only managed to dish out a solid 12 assists in his last 14 games, translating to a sharp contrast with the expected value. The Pistons are likely to lean on their scoring bigs against a Warriors team that can stifle playmaking opportunities. With an implied probability of 62.5%, it feels right to back the under on Jenkins tonight.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets face off against the Toronto Raptors, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting on him to stay under 10.5 assists might just be the smarter play. While Jokic has dazzled with an impressive average of 12.4 assists over his last five games, his home performance tells a different story. He's posting 10.8 assists at home, and against the Raptors specifically, his average drops to 8.6 assists in their last five matchups. Given the Raptors' ability to defend the perimeter and limit playmaking opportunities, it's reasonable to expect Jokic's assists to dip below that threshold. With the numbers suggesting an expected stat value of just 8.54, it seems the reigning MVP could find himself in a game where scoring takes precedence over playmaking. The odds are leaning toward the under, making this a compelling bet as the Nuggets look to secure a crucial win.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (-152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Detroit Pistons take the court against the Golden State Warriors, keep an eye on Daniss Jenkins for an intriguing prop bet on his rebounds and assists combined. With the line set at 9.5, Jenkins has consistently underperformed in this area lately, hitting the under in 18 of his last 20 games. At home, he's even more reliable, achieving this in 12 of his last 14 appearances in Detroit.The Warriors' defense is formidable, especially on the perimeter, which could limit Jenkins' playmaking opportunities. When you consider that his expected stat value hovers around 5.66, it's clear he's unlikely to reach that 9.5 threshold. With an implied probability of 60.2% favoring the under, this bet feels like a savvy play. Jenkins may shine in other areas, but when it comes to this line, the numbers suggest he won't quite make the cut.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 21.5 Points + Assists (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the matchup between the Detroit Pistons and the Golden State Warriors, all signs point to a compelling reason to back the under on Daniss Jenkins' combined points and assists total of 21.5. Jenkins has been a revelation, particularly at home, where he's hit the under in all 20 of his recent games on his own court. His scoring and playmaking have been efficient, but against a Warriors squad known for their defensive prowess, we might see a different story unfold.The Warriors are adept at limiting opposing players, and given Jenkins' recent form, it's reasonable to expect a dip in his production. With an expected stat value of just over 12, the numbers suggest he's well short of that 21.5 mark. In a game where every possession counts, don't be surprised if he struggles to find his rhythm, making the under a savvy play in this matchup.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 24.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-185)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Warriors at home, all eyes will be on Daniss Jenkins, but a closer look suggests that taking the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists might be the smart play. Jenkins has been a revelation this season, yet he's consistently struggled to hit that 24.5 mark, especially against teams that can stretch the floor like Golden State. Digging into the numbers, he's fallen short in all 17 games when this line has been set, and at home, he's notched just six hits out of six attempts for the under. With an expected stat value of 14.21, the 64.9% implied probability tells us that Jenkins is more likely to be below that threshold than not. Given the Warriors' defensive prowess, this matchup could see Jenkins focusing more on facilitating rather than racking up numbers. Betting the under feels like a solid play here.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 12.5 Points (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Detroit Pistons and Golden State Warriors, targeting Daniss Jenkins for under 12.5 points feels like a smart play. Jenkins has been on a remarkable run, but let's dig deeper. His expected stat value sits at just 8.51, signaling that while he's been hitting buckets, this might be a case of overvaluation. At home, he's been particularly underwhelming, with his last six games yielding a perfect record of hitting the under. The Warriors are no slouches defensively, often stifling opposing scorers and forcing them into tough shots. With Jenkins' overall hit rate at 15 out of 17 on the under, it's clear that he's more likely to fall short than shine. Given the matchup and his recent performances, betting the under on Jenkins feels like a solid strategy as the Pistons look to grind out a tough game.

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