Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 6.5 Assists (-167)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Pistons prepare to face the Warriors, all signs point to Daniss Jenkins falling short of that 6.5 assists mark. Despite his talent, Jenkins has only averaged around 3.3 assists this season, a considerable gap from our target. At home, he's been even more restrained, hitting the under in 12 of his last 14 games. The Warriors are no slouch defensively either; their perimeter defense could stifle Jenkins' playmaking opportunities. With an impressive 62.5% implied probability supporting this under, it's clear that recent trends are not just flukes. In fact, Jenkins has nailed the under in 17 of his last 20 matches, making this more than just a hunch-it's a trend rooted in solid performances. So, while he's a promising player, tonight might just be one of those evenings where the numbers really tell the story. Going under 6.5 assists seems like a smart play.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 22.5 Points + Assists (-196)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Daniss Jenkins, but betting on him to go over 22.5 points and assists seems risky. Jenkins has been a model of consistency, hitting the under in every game of the last 20, including a perfect home record. This trend suggests he thrives in a supporting role rather than as a primary scorer. Against the Warriors, who boast a strong defensive unit, Jenkins may find his opportunities limited, especially as they focus on shutting down the Pistons' key players. With an expected stat value of just 12.15, it's clear that Jenkins is likely to fall short of that 22.5 mark. Given the Warriors' ability to disrupt offensive flow, this matchup leans heavily towards the under for Jenkins, making it a wise choice for savvy bettors looking to capitalize on recent trends.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 14.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Pistons host the Warriors, Daniss Jenkins presents a compelling case for going under 14.5 points. This season, Jenkins has been on a tear, but the numbers tell a different story when it comes to this matchup. In his last 17 outings, he's hit the under an impressive 16 times, showcasing a remarkable consistency that can't be ignored. Playing at home often amplifies pressure, and Jenkins has thrived in that environment, hitting the under in all six of his recent home games. With the Warriors bringing a high-paced game that can stifle individual scoring, Jenkins might find his opportunities limited. The expected stat value of just 8.51 points further underscores that he may struggle to reach the 15-point threshold. Given these trends, betting on Jenkins to stay under 14.5 points feels like a savvy play this Friday.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-147)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the Golden State Warriors, targeting Daniss Jenkins for under 18.5 points plus rebounds feels like a savvy move. Jenkins has been an impressive contributor, but the numbers suggest he might struggle to hit that mark tonight. Over his last 17 games, he's consistently fallen short, hitting the under each time-an incredible 100% success rate. Playing at home, Jenkins has maintained this trend, with a perfect 6-for-6 on hitting the under. The Warriors' defensive scheme, particularly against guards, has proven effective, limiting scoring opportunities. With an expected stat value of just 10.71, it's clear he may not find the same rhythm against a team that's eager to clamp down on defense. Given the stats, betting on Jenkins to stay under that 18.5 threshold makes solid sense as he might find it tough to shine amidst the Warriors' defensive pressure.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming matchup against the Golden State Warriors, Daniss Jenkins presents an intriguing opportunity for bettors. Playing at home, Jenkins has been a model of consistency, but when it comes to the combined total of points, rebounds, and assists, the number 26.5 feels just a bit inflated. Consider this: Jenkins has hit the under on this line in every game over the last 20 outings, both at home and away. His expected stat value of 14.21 suggests he's operating well below that threshold. The Pistons' current offensive scheme doesn't heavily rely on him, especially with the Warriors likely to focus on shutting him down. With an implied probability of 67.6% favoring the under, it's hard to ignore the narrative. Jenkins has thrived in his role, but against a tough Golden State defense, it's reasonable to expect him to fall short of that lofty total.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (-145)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets host the Toronto Raptors, it's worth considering a bet on Nikola Jokic to record under 10.5 assists. While Jokic is a maestro on the court, orchestrating plays with finesse, recent trends suggest he might not hit that lofty mark tonight. In his last five games, he's averaged 12.4 assists, but at home, that number dips to 10.8. More telling, his assists against Toronto have averaged just 8.6, a figure that reflects the Raptors' defensive schemes designed to limit playmakers.The Nuggets' offensive dynamics shift at home, and with the Raptors presenting a unique challenge, Jokic may focus more on scoring or rebounding. With an expected stat value of 8.54 and an implied probability of 59.2% for the under, it seems wise to lean into this narrative-a subtle reminder that even the greats have off nights against specific matchups.

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