Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Wednesday 03/11 (Donovan Mitchell Highlights): Stat Projections & Picks

As the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Ja'Kobe Walter, particularly for an over on his points prop set at 6.5. Walter has been on a scoring tear, averaging 12.6 points over his last five games and consistently finding the basket with an impressive 14 points against the Raptors in their recent encounters. As an away player, he's not just holding his own-he's been lighting it up, averaging 11.2 points when traveling. What's most impressive is his perfect hit rate, scoring over this mark in all of his last six outings, including five straight away games. With the Raptors struggling defensively, particularly against dynamic scorers, Walter is poised to exploit this matchup. Given his current form, it's hard to see him finishing below 7 points. Locking in that over makes a lot of sense here.

Keon Ellis (Sacramento Kings) Over 5.5 Points (-130)

When we look at Keon Ellis, it's hard not to be excited about the potential for him to go over 5.5 points against the Cavaliers. With an average of 10.3 points in his last five matchups against Cleveland, he's shown he can rise to the occasion. Plus, in the friendly confines of home, he's been even more productive, averaging 7.6 points in his last five home games.The numbers speak volumes-Ellis has hit this mark in 15 of his last 20 games, and the trend continues upward. With an expected stat value of 8.46, it feels like a safe bet that he'll surpass this threshold. Given Cleveland's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly against shooting guards, this is a prime opportunity for him to shine. As the Magic look to make a statement, expect Ellis to step up and deliver, making this prop bet one worth taking seriously.

Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 2.5 Assists (-189)

When it comes to Cody Williams, the numbers tell a compelling story that suggests he'll struggle to find his rhythm in distributing the ball against the Knicks. At home, he's averaging just 0.8 assists over his last five games, and intriguingly, he hasn't recorded a single assist against New York in their last five encounters-even on his own court. With the Jazz looking to establish other scorers, Williams' role may be more about facilitating off the ball rather than racking up assists. The trend is undeniable: he's hit the under in his last 11 games, with a perfect 5-for-5 at home. Given the Knicks' defensive prowess, it's tough to see him breaking through that 2.5 mark tonight. This bet feels not just safe, but almost inevitable, making the under on Williams a savvy play.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Over 27.5 Points (-125)

When the Denver Nuggets host the Houston Rockets, all eyes turn to Nikola Jokic, and for good reason. The reigning MVP has been on a scoring tear lately, averaging 28 points over his last five games. At home, he's consistently found his groove, hitting the 27.5 mark in 8 of his last 14 games at the Pepsi Center. Jokic's ability to exploit mismatches is showcased in his average of 28.6 points against the Rockets over their last few matchups. With a strong implied probability of 55.6% suggesting he'll surpass that 27.5 line, it's clear that the stars are aligning for another big night. Plus, Jokic's exceptional passing ability creates opportunities that often lead to easy buckets. Given the numbers and the stakes, betting on Jokic to go over 27.5 points feels like a savvy play. Get ready to watch him shine!

Miles Bridges (Charlotte Hornets) Over 2.5 Assists (-182)

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Sacramento Kings, all eyes should be on Miles Bridges, particularly when it comes to his assist total. With an impressive average of 5 assists over his last five away games, Bridges has transformed into a playmaker on the road. He's hit the over on this prop in six straight away contests, showcasing not just consistency but a growing chemistry with his teammates. Against the Kings, he's averaged 3.3 assists in their previous matchups, and while that number dips slightly when playing away, the overall trend is hard to ignore. With an expected stat value of 3.64 and a robust hit rate of 8 out of 9 in his last nine games, betting on Bridges to dish out over 2.5 assists feels like a savvy move. Don't miss this opportunity; he's primed to deliver in a game where he'll need to step up.